These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 6, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-5-18
10/4
TROY 19 over Georgia State; total 59
HOUSTON 16 over Tulsa; total 68
10/5
Georgia Tech 1 over LOUISVILLE; total 54
MARSHALL 6 over Middle Tennessee State; total 56
BRIGHAM YOUNG 1 over Utah State; total 57
10/6
Alabama 29 over ARKANSAS; total 62
LOUISIANA TECH 8 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54
COLORADO 2 over Arizona State; total 56
Auburn 2 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 43
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 6 over Boston College; total 61
TOLEDO 27 over Bowling Green; total 80
Buffalo 10 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 50
California 3 over ARIZONA; total 59
Clemson 17 over WAKE FOREST; total 61
Colorado State pick 'em over SAN JOSE STATE; total 65
MEMPHIS 22 over Connecticut; total 75
TEMPLE 8 over East Carolina; total 55
WESTERN MICHIGAN 9 over Eastern Michigan; total 64
MIAMI, FLORIDA 16 over Florida State; total 53
Fresno State 9 over NEVADA; total 69
Illinois 4 over RUTGERS; total 53
OHIO STATE 19 over Indiana; total 59
Iowa 1 over MINNESOTA; total 41
OKLAHOMA STATE 10 over Iowa State; total 54
WEST VIRGINIA 21 over Kansas; total 57
BAYLOR 8 over Kansas State; total 58
Kentucky 7 over TEXAS A&M; total 51
Liberty 10 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 61
Louisiana 5 over TEXAS STATE; total 61
Louisiana State 4 over FLORIDA; total 46
MISSISSIPPI 19 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 69
MICHIGAN 14 over Maryland; total 55
AKRON 10 over Miami, Ohio; total 51
SOUTH CAROLINA 4 over Missouri; total 60
Navy 2 over AIR FORCE; total 62
WISCONSIN 22 over Nebraska; total 54
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 6 over New Mexico; total 74
North Texas 32 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 56
BALL STATE 2 over Northern Illinois; total 48
MICHIGAN STATE 12 over Northwestern; total 51
Notre Dame 11 over VIRGINIA TECH; total 54
Ohio 10 over KENT STATE; total 73
Oklahoma 9 over Texas; total 62
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 12 over Old Dominion; total 68
BOISE STATE 10 over San Diego State; total 53
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 17 over South Alabama; total 55
South Florida 13 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 69
CENTRAL FLORIDA 22 over Southern Methodist; total 68
Syracuse 14 over PITTSBURGH; total 60
RICE 2 over Texas-San Antonio; total 61
CINCINNATI 14 over Tulane; total 49
STANFORD 10 over Utah; total 42
GEORGIA 19 over Vanderbilt; total 51
Washington 18 over UCLA; total 46
Washington State 17 over OREGON STATE; total 71
HAWAII 10 over Wyoming; total 59
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 42-13 | .764 | 186-67 | .735 |
| Against the spread | 30-24-1 | .555 | 129-118-6 | .522 |
| Over-under | 27-28 | .491 | 135-115-3 | .540 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-3 | .400 | 15-14-1 | .517 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 230-23 |
| Percentage | .90909 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.94269 |
| Mean error | 10.0138 |
| Mean square error | 157.418 |
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