ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 10-08-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 8, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


NORTH TEXAS 5 over Troy; total 49


NORTHERN ILLINOIS 1 over Miami, Ohio; total 60


GEORGIA TECH 15 over North Carolina State; total 51
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 13 over Florida Atlantic; total 52


CONNECTICUT 13 over Syracuse; total 47


NAVY 1 over Air Force; total 59
Akron 12 over BUFFALO; total 47
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 37 over Arizona; total 56
WESTERN MICHIGAN 15 over Ball State; total 57
IOWA STATE 9 over Baylor; total 45
NEW MEXICO 13 over Brigham Young; total 57
UCLA 5 over California; total 55
Central Michigan 8 over ARMY; total 49
PITTSBURGH 6 over Cincinnati; total 44
MIAMI, FLORIDA 28 over Duke; total 43
TOLEDO 15 over Eastern Michigan; total 56
Fresno State 20 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 56
TENNESSEE 1 over Georgia; total 39
LOUISIANA TECH 7 over Hawaii; total 55
TULANE 5 over Houston; total 52
NEVADA 14 over Idaho; total 49
INDIANA 14 over Illinois; total 57
PURDUE 6 over Iowa; total 57
KANSAS STATE 7 over Kansas; total 51
SOUTH CAROLINA 16 over Kentucky; total 57
Louisiana State 6 over VANDERBILT; total 50
ARKANSAS 17 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 56
VIRGINIA TECH 30 over Marshall; total 44
Maryland 21 over TEMPLE; total 57
CENTRAL FLORIDA 2 over Memphis; total 47
MICHIGAN 8 over Minnesota; total 56
FLORIDA 18 over Mississippi State; total 39
OKLAHOMA STATE 6 over Missouri; total 49
LOUISVILLE 9 over North Carolina; total 58
BOWLING GREEN STATE 20 over Ohio; total 63
PENN STATE 8 over Ohio State; total 43
Texas 17 over Oklahoma; total 56
ARIZONA STATE 12 over Oregon; total 66
EAST CAROLINA 5 over Rice; total 61
San Diego State 5 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 50
UTAH STATE 8 over San Jose State; total 50
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 21 over Southern Methodist; total 46
WASHINGTON STATE 19 over Stanford; total 61
COLORADO 13 over Texas A&M; total 48
WYOMING 10 over Texas Christian; total 53
NEBRASKA 6 over Texas Tech; total 52
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 14 over Tulsa; total 54
COLORADO STATE 8 over Utah; total 58
BOSTON COLLEGE 12 over Virginia; total 47
FLORIDA STATE 27 over Wake Forest; total 51
West Virginia 2 over RUTGERS; total 44
Wisconsin 12 over NORTHWESTERN; total 59

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread29-23-1.557110-118-4.483
ARGH Early Bird Picks0-2.00011-8.579
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks1-01.0005-1.833

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team0.94073
Mean error9.7511
Mean square error152.744

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