These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 10. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-8-15, note change in location and corresponding change in prediction for South Carolina-LSU
10/8
HOUSTON 30 over Southern Methodist; total 72
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 14 over Washington; total 55
10/9
North Carolina State 3 over VIRGINIA TECH; total 54
MARSHALL 10 over Southern Mississippi; total 61
10/10
Akron 9 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 58
Appalachian State 20 over GEORGIA STATE; total 59
ALABAMA 15 over Arkansas; total 49
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 6 over Ball State; total 58
Baylor 39 over KANSAS; total 74
Boise State 15 over COLORADO STATE; total 57
UTAH 11 over California; total 63
WESTERN MICHIGAN 2 over Central Michigan; total 51
ARIZONA STATE 10 over Colorado; total 55
Connecticut 4 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 38
Duke 19 over ARMY; total 47
BRIGHAM YOUNG 10 over East Carolina; total 54
Florida 4 over MISSOURI; total 39
Georgia 5 over TENNESSEE; total 59
CLEMSON 13 over Georgia Tech; total 58
IOWA 6 over Illinois; total 47
PENN STATE 5 over Indiana; total 53
TEXAS TECH 11 over Iowa State; total 74
TOLEDO 16 over Kent; total 41
Louisiana Tech 15 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 61
TULSA 9 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 66
OHIO STATE 27 over Maryland; total 53
BOWLING GREEN STATE 14 over Massachusetts; total 67
FLORIDA STATE 15 over Miami, Florida; total 51
OHIO 19 over Miami, Ohio; total 48
Michigan State 16 over RUTGERS; total 53
WESTERN KENTUCKY 11 over Middle Tennessee State; total 63
Minnesota 6 over PURDUE; total 46
NOTRE DAME 8 over Navy; total 56
NEVADA 2 over New Mexico; total 57
MISSISSIPPI 43 over New Mexico State; total 71
Northwestern 1 over MICHIGAN; total 30
WEST VIRGINIA 1 over Oklahoma State; total 55
ARIZONA 12 over Oregon State; total 67
Rice pick 'em over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 61
HAWAII 1 over San Diego State; total 45
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 6 over San Jose State; total 57
LOUISIANA STATE 18 over South Carolina; total 52
Syracuse 8 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 48
Oklahoma 21 over Texas; total 62
Texas Christian 8 over KANSAS STATE; total 64
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 2 over Texas State; total 75
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 9 over Texas-El Paso; total 52
MISSISSIPPI STATE 21 over Troy; total 49
TEMPLE 21 over Tulane; total 53
Utah State 8 over FRESNO STATE; total 51
PITTSBURGH 14 over Virginia; total 55
BOSTON COLLEGE 8 over Wake Forest; total 36
OREGON 16 over Washington State; total 72
Wisconsin 3 over NEBRASKA; total 45
AIR FORCE 24 over Wyoming; total 54
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 41-17 | .707 | 195-57 | .774 |
| Against the spread | 25-31-2 | .448 | 118-127-6 | .482 |
| Over-under | 28-29-1 | .491 | 129-120-2 | .518 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-4 | .333 | 22-19 | .537 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 230-22 |
| Percentage | .91270 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.65179 |
| Mean error | 10.0228 |
| Mean square error | 166.337 |
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