This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 11, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


Brigham Young 2 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 51


Fresno State 13 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 62
NEW MEXICO pick 'em over San Diego State; total 51
STANFORD 15 over Washington State; total 53


UTAH STATE 3 over Air Force; total 52
Alabama 7 over ARKANSAS; total 62
Arkansas State 14 over GEORGIA STATE; total 61
Auburn 1 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 58
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 7 over Boston College; total 56
Bowling Green State 2 over OHIO; total 64
Buffalo 7 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 64
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 14 over Central Michigan; total 50
MIAMI, FLORIDA 10 over Cincinnati; total 61
NEVADA 2 over Colorado State; total 55
TULANE 7 over Connecticut; total 49
GEORGIA TECH 8 over Duke; total 55
East Carolina 14 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 57
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 3 over Florida International; total 43
Florida State 16 over SYRACUSE; total 53
MISSOURI 1 over Georgia; total 62
MEMPHIS 13 over Houston; total 49
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 30 over Idaho; total 65
WISCONSIN 16 over Illinois; total 56
IOWA 3 over Indiana; total 49
FLORIDA 3 over Louisiana State; total 51
KENTUCKY 14 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 46
Louisville pick 'em over CLEMSON; total 54
KENT 6 over Massachusetts; total 56
AKRON 17 over Miami, Ohio; total 47
Michigan State 15 over PURDUE; total 59
MARSHALL 18 over Middle Tennessee State; total 69
Mississippi 4 over TEXAS A&M; total 57
New Mexico State 4 over TROY; total 62
NOTRE DAME 27 over North Carolina; total 61
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 6 over North Texas; total 64
MINNESOTA 5 over Northwestern; total 39
Oklahoma State 13 over KANSAS; total 52
Old Dominion pick 'em over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 67
UCLA 9 over Oregon; total 66
Penn State 4 over MICHIGAN; total 37
Rice 4 over ARMY; total 63
ARIZONA 8 over Southern California; total 61
Oklahoma 14 over Texas; total 50
BAYLOR 7 over Texas Christian; total 60
Toledo 4 over IOWA STATE; total 64
TEMPLE 16 over Tulsa; total 59
CALIFORNIA 7 over Washington; total 79
West Virginia 8 over TEXAS TECH; total 69
Western Michigan 1 over BALL STATE; total 55
Wyoming 4 over HAWAII; total 42

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page

2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread26-29-2.474125-156-7.446
ARGH Picks4-5.44421-27-2.440

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team0.48616
Mean error10.4983
Mean square error174.778

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