These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 12, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/10
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 1 over Arizona; total 47
LOUISVILLE 17 over Rutgers; total 59
San Diego State 3 over AIR FORCE; total 63
10/11
CINCINNATI 17 over Temple; total 44
10/12
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 29 over Akron; total 66
Alabama 22 over KENTUCKY; total 47
Alabama-Birmingham 6 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 63
Baylor 16 over KANSAS STATE; total 76
UTAH STATE 8 over Boise State; total 60
CLEMSON 26 over Boston College; total 58
MISSISSIPPI STATE 2 over Bowling Green State; total 49
Buffalo 17 over WESTERN MICHIGAN; total 56
UCLA 33 over California; total 71
OHIO 22 over Central Michigan; total 51
ARIZONA STATE 27 over Colorado; total 72
East Carolina 9 over TULANE; total 56
ARMY 10 over Eastern Michigan; total 52
LOUISIANA STATE 5 over Florida; total 52
BRIGHAM YOUNG 2 over Georgia Tech; total 48
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 15 over Hawaii; total 61
ARKANSAS STATE 22 over Idaho; total 57
MICHIGAN STATE 8 over Indiana; total 59
TEXAS TECH 24 over Iowa State; total 54
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 16 over Kansas; total 45
BALL STATE 21 over Kent; total 58
TEXAS STATE 8 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 47
Marshall 4 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 52
HOUSTON 16 over Memphis; total 51
MASSACHUSETTS 1 over Miami, Ohio; total 38
Michigan 4 over PENN STATE; total 54
NORTH TEXAS 6 over Middle Tennessee State; total 53
GEORGIA 7 over Missouri; total 75
DUKE 1 over Navy; total 57
Nebraska 18 over PURDUE; total 63
WYOMING 17 over New Mexico; total 68
WISCONSIN 5 over Northwestern; total 59
Oregon 1 over WASHINGTON; total 62
WASHINGTON STATE 7 over Oregon State; total 60
VIRGINIA TECH 13 over Pittsburgh; total 47
Rice 5 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 57
COLORADO STATE pick 'em over San Jose State; total 55
South Carolina 10 over ARKANSAS; total 53
CONNECTICUT 4 over South Florida; total 48
Stanford 13 over UTAH; total 63
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 1 over Syracuse; total 54
Oklahoma 15 over Texas; total 51
MISSISSIPPI 1 over Texas A&M; total 70
Troy 24 over GEORGIA STATE; total 61
Tulsa 7 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 65
MARYLAND 11 over Virginia; total 47
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 42-13 | .764 | 217-61 | .781 |
| Against the spread | 21-33-1 | .391 | 135-139-4 | .493 |
| Over-under | 31-23-1 | .573 | 146-129-3 | .531 |
| ARGH Picks | 6-2 | .750 | 28-17 | .611 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 254-24 |
| Percentage | .91367 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.90468 |
| Mean error | 9.7716 |
| Mean square error | 155.021 |
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