These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 14, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

**Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.**

10/12

AIR FORCE 3 over Colorado State; total 41

Clemson 38 over Temple; total 52

BOSTON COLLEGE 5 over Virginia Tech; total 45

10/13

Pittsburgh 9 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 46

10/14

Alabama-Birmingham 1 over RICE; total 48

Arizona 3 over STANFORD; total 38

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 27 over Arizona State; total 52

MEMPHIS 4 over Arkansas State; total 44

CONNECTICUT 4 over Army; total 46

CENTRAL MICHIGAN 19 over Ball State; total 62

TEXAS 20 over Baylor; total 44

California 1 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 53

LOUISVILLE 24 over Cincinnati; total 47

BOWLING GREEN STATE 19 over Eastern Michigan; total 49

Florida 4 over AUBURN; total 35

MIAMI, FLORIDA 18 over Florida International; total 34

Florida State 17 over DUKE; total 35

Hawaii 3 over FRESNO STATE; total 55

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 8 over Houston; total 45

LOUISIANA TECH 5 over Idaho; total 56

Iowa 14 over INDIANA; total 49

OKLAHOMA 18 over Iowa State; total 51

LOUISIANA STATE 19 over Kentucky; total 51

TROY 7 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 36

SOUTHERN METHODIST 8 over Marshall; total 50

Maryland pick 'em over VIRGINIA; total 38

BUFFALO 6 over Miami, Ohio; total 47

Michigan 10 over PENN STATE; total 44

WISCONSIN 11 over Minnesota; total 47

ALABAMA 14 over Mississippi; total 37

TEXAS A&M pick 'em over Missouri; total 48

Nebraska 6 over KANSAS STATE; total 46

NEVADA-LAS VEGAS pick 'em over New Mexico; total 37

WESTERN MICHIGAN 3 over Northern Illinois; total 50

ILLINOIS 1 over Ohio; total 42

Ohio State 18 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 48

KANSAS 2 over Oklahoma State; total 54

WASHINGTON 11 over Oregon State; total 47

Purdue 9 over NORTHWESTERN; total 54

Rutgers pick 'em over NAVY; total 43

South Florida 5 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 46

WEST VIRGINIA 21 over Syracuse; total 50

Texas Tech 15 over COLORADO; total 41

KENT 10 over Toledo; total 50

TEXAS-EL PASO 13 over Tulane; total 62

Tulsa 6 over EAST CAROLINA; total 47

OREGON 6 over UCLA; total 51

Utah 6 over WYOMING; total 39

SAN JOSE STATE 16 over Utah State; total 44

GEORGIA 13 over Vanderbilt; total 37

Wake Forest pick 'em over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 34

10/15

Boise State 28 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 58

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

- Florida International +28.5
- Central Michigan -8.5
- Buffalo +9.5

More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 37-18 | .673 | 228-70 | .770 |

Against the spread | 29-22-4 | .564 | 148-136-14 | .524 |

Over-under | 28-27 | .509 | 136-146-4 | .483 |

ARGH Picks | 5-2-1 | .688 | 14-8-2 | .625 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 259-39 |

Percentage | 0.86913 |

Bias toward home team | 0.87164 |

Mean error | 10.2827 |

Mean square error | 172.048 |

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