These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 14, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-13-17
10/11
TROY 18 over South Alabama; total 46
10/12
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 15 over Texas State; total 64
10/13
Clemson 23 over SYRACUSE; total 52
Washington State 17 over CALIFORNIA; total 57
10/14
WESTERN MICHIGAN 12 over Akron; total 65
Appalachian State 11 over IDAHO; total 47
ALABAMA 32 over Arkansas; total 57
Auburn 5 over LOUISIANA STATE; total 45
OKLAHOMA STATE 32 over Baylor; total 70
SAN DIEGO STATE 11 over Boise State; total 49
LOUISVILLE 13 over Boston College; total 57
MISSISSIPPI STATE 17 over Brigham Young; total 43
WESTERN KENTUCKY 17 over Charlotte; total 39
SOUTH FLORIDA 21 over Cincinnati; total 62
ARKANSAS STATE 24 over Coastal Carolina; total 65
Colorado 9 over OREGON STATE; total 56
TEMPLE 11 over Connecticut; total 55
CENTRAL FLORIDA 37 over East Carolina; total 68
ARMY 8 over Eastern Michigan; total 41
DUKE pick 'em over Florida State; total 46
LOUISIANA-MONROE 9 over Georgia State; total 59
MIAMI, FLORIDA 14 over Georgia Tech; total 54
Houston 16 over TULSA; total 61
IOWA STATE 27 over Kansas; total 69
Miami, Ohio 4 over KENT; total 47
Michigan 8 over INDIANA; total 46
Michigan State 2 over MINNESOTA; total 40
Middle Tennessee State 2 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 55
GEORGIA 33 over Missouri; total 57
Navy 4 over MEMPHIS; total 73
COLORADO STATE 22 over Nevada; total 55
AIR FORCE 9 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 67
FRESNO STATE 4 over New Mexico; total 55
New Mexico State 11 over GEORGIA SOUTHERN; total 58
North Carolina State 17 over PITTSBURGH; total 59
Northern Illinois 1 over BUFFALO; total 50
MARYLAND 6 over Northwestern; total 62
Ohio 13 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 62
Ohio State 17 over NEBRASKA; total 60
MARSHALL 13 over Old Dominion; total 48
STANFORD 9 over Oregon; total 67
WISCONSIN 17 over Purdue; total 53
ILLINOIS 2 over Rutgers; total 45
HAWAII 12 over San Jose State; total 62
South Carolina 4 over TENNESSEE; total 48
Oklahoma 7 over Texas; total 65
FLORIDA 5 over Texas A&M; total 55
Texas Christian 15 over KANSAS STATE; total 60
Texas Tech 3 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 74
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 25 over Texas-El Paso; total 53
NORTH TEXAS 2 over Texas-San Antonio; total 63
Toledo 11 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 62
Tulane 9 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 51
ARIZONA 1 over UCLA; total 76
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 12 over Utah; total 53
Vanderbilt 3 over MISSISSIPPI; total 55
Virginia 8 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 55
Washington 20 over ARIZONA STATE; total 62
UTAH STATE 3 over Wyoming; total 52
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 45-12 | .789 | 236-72 | .766 |
| Against the spread | 30-24-2* | .554 | 151-150-6 | .502 |
| Over-under | 20-36* | .357 | 142-163-2 | .466 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-3 | .400 | 31-31-1 | .500 |
*Central Florida-Cincinnati considered a No Contest for betting purposes because fewer than 55 minutes were played
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 272-36 |
| Percentage | .88312 |
| Bias toward home team | 1.20292 |
| Mean error | 9.8766 |
| Mean square error | 151.659 |
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