These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 15, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

10/13

NORTH CAROLINA STATE 7 over Clemson; total 51

ARKANSAS STATE 17 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 58

10/14

Texas-El Paso 2 over TULANE; total 49

10/15

MIAMI, OHIO 11 over Akron; total 56

Alabama 11 over MISSISSIPPI; total 37

MARSHALL 1 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 47

TEXAS CHRISTIAN 30 over Army; total 49

Auburn 9 over ARKANSAS; total 56

Bowling Green State 24 over BUFFALO; total 52

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 8 over Central Florida; total 48

TEXAS 15 over Colorado; total 50

Colorado State 2 over BRIGHAM YOUNG; total 58

Connecticut 8 over CINCINNATI; total 49

SOUTHERN METHODIST 6 over East Carolina; total 51

NORTHERN ILLINOIS 14 over Eastern Michigan; total 55

LOUISIANA STATE 6 over Florida; total 48

Florida State 11 over VIRGINIA; total 53

Georgia 13 over VANDERBILT; total 43

Georgia Tech 13 over DUKE; total 46

IOWA 11 over Indiana; total 47

MISSOURI 8 over Iowa State; total 57

TEXAS TECH 17 over Kansas State; total 61

NAVY 17 over Kent; total 53

NEVADA 2 over Louisiana Tech; total 56

WEST VIRGINIA 5 over Louisville; total 58

HOUSTON 14 over Memphis; total 56

Miami, Florida 31 over TEMPLE; total 48

OHIO STATE 9 over Michigan State; total 51

FLORIDA ATLANTIC 1 over Middle Tennessee State; total 36

BAYLOR 4 over Nebraska; total 39

AIR FORCE 15 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 53

WYOMING 14 over New Mexico; total 53

HAWAII 18 over New Mexico State; total 55

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 7 over North Texas; total 51

PURDUE 4 over Northwestern; total 72

CENTRAL MICHIGAN 9 over Ohio; total 44

Oklahoma 3 over Kansas; total 45

TEXAS A&M 13 over Oklahoma State; total 47

CALIFORNIA 19 over Oregon State; total 63

Penn State 5 over MICHIGAN; total 44

SYRACUSE 3 over Rutgers; total 42

UTAH 11 over San Diego State; total 45

BOISE STATE 30 over San Jose State; total 57

South Florida 5 over PITTSBURGH; total 41

Southern California 8 over NOTRE DAME; total 66

ARIZONA 2 over Stanford; total 48

Toledo 11 over BALL STATE; total 68

LOUISIANA-MONROE 4 over Troy; total 48

Tulsa 10 over RICE; total 65

UCLA 9 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 66

FRESNO STATE 26 over Utah State; total 50

BOSTON COLLEGE 20 over Wake Forest; total 45

OREGON 26 over Washington; total 52

MINNESOTA 11 over Wisconsin; total 63

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

- West Virginia +7
- Oregon -16

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

- Temple +42
- Ball State +22

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 33-19 | .635 | 203-81 | .715 |

Against the spread | 21-30-1 | .413 | 131-148-5 | .470 |

Over-under | 20-22-1 | .477 | 104-101-2 | .507 |

ARGH Early Bird Picks | 4-1 | .800 | 15-9 | .625 |

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 0-1 | .000 | 5-2 | .714 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 238-46 |

Percentage | .83803 |

Bias toward home team | 1.27817 |

Mean error | 10.0757 |

Mean square error | 160.633 |

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