ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 10-15-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 15, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


NORTH CAROLINA STATE 7 over Clemson; total 51
ARKANSAS STATE 17 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 58


Texas-El Paso 2 over TULANE; total 49


MIAMI, OHIO 11 over Akron; total 56
Alabama 11 over MISSISSIPPI; total 37
MARSHALL 1 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 47
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 30 over Army; total 49
Auburn 9 over ARKANSAS; total 56
Bowling Green State 24 over BUFFALO; total 52
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 8 over Central Florida; total 48
TEXAS 15 over Colorado; total 50
Colorado State 2 over BRIGHAM YOUNG; total 58
Connecticut 8 over CINCINNATI; total 49
SOUTHERN METHODIST 6 over East Carolina; total 51
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 14 over Eastern Michigan; total 55
LOUISIANA STATE 6 over Florida; total 48
Florida State 11 over VIRGINIA; total 53
Georgia 13 over VANDERBILT; total 43
Georgia Tech 13 over DUKE; total 46
IOWA 11 over Indiana; total 47
MISSOURI 8 over Iowa State; total 57
TEXAS TECH 17 over Kansas State; total 61
NAVY 17 over Kent; total 53
NEVADA 2 over Louisiana Tech; total 56
WEST VIRGINIA 5 over Louisville; total 58
HOUSTON 14 over Memphis; total 56
Miami, Florida 31 over TEMPLE; total 48
OHIO STATE 9 over Michigan State; total 51
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 1 over Middle Tennessee State; total 36
BAYLOR 4 over Nebraska; total 39
AIR FORCE 15 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 53
WYOMING 14 over New Mexico; total 53
HAWAII 18 over New Mexico State; total 55
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 7 over North Texas; total 51
PURDUE 4 over Northwestern; total 72
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 9 over Ohio; total 44
Oklahoma 3 over Kansas; total 45
TEXAS A&M 13 over Oklahoma State; total 47
CALIFORNIA 19 over Oregon State; total 63
Penn State 5 over MICHIGAN; total 44
SYRACUSE 3 over Rutgers; total 42
UTAH 11 over San Diego State; total 45
BOISE STATE 30 over San Jose State; total 57
South Florida 5 over PITTSBURGH; total 41
Southern California 8 over NOTRE DAME; total 66
ARIZONA 2 over Stanford; total 48
Toledo 11 over BALL STATE; total 68
LOUISIANA-MONROE 4 over Troy; total 48
Tulsa 10 over RICE; total 65
UCLA 9 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 66
FRESNO STATE 26 over Utah State; total 50
BOSTON COLLEGE 20 over Wake Forest; total 45
OREGON 26 over Washington; total 52
MINNESOTA 11 over Wisconsin; total 63

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread21-30-1.413131-148-5.470
ARGH Early Bird Picks4-1.80015-9.625
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks0-1.0005-2.714

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team1.27817
Mean error10.0757
Mean square error160.633

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