This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 8, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

10/13
AIR FORCE 3 over San Diego State; total 63
Southern California 2 over CALIFORNIA; total 59

10/14

Hawaii 4 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 57

10/15

Alabama 26 over MISSISSIPPI; total 45
TULSA 26 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54
OREGON 8 over Arizona State; total 66
OHIO 11 over Ball State; total 55
TEXAS A&M 9 over Baylor; total 72
Boise State 27 over COLORADO STATE; total 51
Brigham Young 6 over OREGON STATE; total 44
TEMPLE 17 over Buffalo; total 43
SOUTHERN METHODIST 4 over Central Florida; total 41
Clemson 15 over MARYLAND; total 50
WASHINGTON 22 over Colorado; total 58
East Carolina 12 over MEMPHIS; total 55
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 1 over Eastern Michigan; total 50
AUBURN 1 over Florida; total 55
Florida State 6 over DUKE; total 56
Georgia 5 over VANDERBILT; total 44
Georgia Tech 13 over VIRGINIA; total 62
NEW MEXICO STATE 6 over Idaho; total 50
WISCONSIN 30 over Indiana; total 54
MISSOURI 11 over Iowa State; total 56
Kansas State pick 'em over TEXAS TECH; total 58
Louisiana State 18 over TENNESSEE; total 53
TROY 10 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 53
CINCINNATI 15 over Louisville; total 46
NORTH CAROLINA 10 over Miami, Florida; total 49
KENT 3 over Miami, Ohio; total 40
Michigan 5 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 42
RUTGERS 20 over Navy; total 57
WYOMING 17 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 59
NEVADA 29 over New Mexico; total 57
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 17 over North Texas; total 61
IOWA 10 over Northwestern; total 54
ILLINOIS 13 over Ohio State; total 47
Oklahoma 39 over KANSAS; total 75
Oklahoma State 5 over TEXAS; total 67
PENN STATE 14 over Purdue; total 38
MARSHALL 2 over Rice; total 47
South Carolina 7 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 50
South Florida 9 over CONNECTICUT; total 54
Stanford 22 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 62
Texas-El Paso 1 over TULANE; total 61
Toledo 9 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 64
PITTSBURGH 3 over Utah; total 47
Utah State 1 over FRESNO STATE; total 70
Virginia Tech 3 over WAKE FOREST; total 52
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 4 over Western Kentucky; total 49
Western Michigan 9 over NORTHERN ILLINOIS; total 66



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up43-9.827219-71.755
Against the spread26-25-1.510139-142-7.488
Over-under27-25.519145-141-1.507
ARGH Picks3-2.6009-5-1.633

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record262-28
Percentage.90345
Bias toward home team-0.18448
Mean error9.5603
Mean square error154.710

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