These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 17, 2009. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/13
LOUISIANA-MONROE 4 over Arkansas State; total 59
10/14
Boise State 8 over TULSA; total 54
10/15
SOUTH FLORIDA pick 'em over Cincinnati; total 50
10/16
Pittsburgh 1 over RUTGERS; total 51
10/17
BUFFALO 6 over Akron; total 47
MISSISSIPPI 17 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 49
FLORIDA 26 over Arkansas; total 57
TEMPLE 6 over Army; total 38
Baylor 1 over IOWA STATE; total 52
Bowling Green State 11 over BALL STATE; total 55
Brigham Young 13 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 57
UCLA 2 over California; total 44
Central Michigan 9 over WESTERN MICHIGAN; total 52
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 19 over Colorado State; total 48
NORTH TEXAS 3 over Florida Atlantic; total 56
Georgia 4 over VANDERBILT; total 41
IDAHO 16 over Hawaii; total 55
Houston 16 over TULANE; total 63
INDIANA 5 over Illinois; total 48
Iowa 2 over WISCONSIN; total 48
Kansas 16 over COLORADO; total 56
Kent 3 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 49
AUBURN 12 over Kentucky; total 60
Louisiana-Lafayette 13 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 53
CONNECTICUT 12 over Louisville; total 45
WEST VIRGINIA 11 over Marshall; total 51
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 14 over Memphis; total 53
Miami, Florida 8 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 47
OHIO 22 over Miami, Ohio; total 48
PENN STATE 10 over Minnesota; total 45
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 4 over Mississippi State; total 53
OKLAHOMA STATE 3 over Missouri; total 58
Navy 6 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 56
Nevada 3 over UTAH STATE; total 59
LOUISIANA TECH 10 over New Mexico State; total 40
BOSTON COLLEGE 9 over North Carolina State; total 53
Northern Illinois 4 over TOLEDO; total 64
MICHIGAN STATE 11 over Northwestern; total 53
Ohio State 16 over PURDUE; total 49
EAST CAROLINA 20 over Rice; total 54
FRESNO STATE 16 over San Jose State; total 56
ALABAMA 17 over South Carolina; total 46
Southern California 4 over NOTRE DAME; total 45
ARIZONA 2 over Stanford; total 53
Texas 6 over Oklahoma; total 52
Texas A&M 2 over KANSAS STATE; total 57
NEBRASKA 16 over Texas Tech; total 58
Troy 6 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 55
Utah 14 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 56
Virginia 1 over MARYLAND; total 54
Virginia Tech 6 over GEORGIA TECH; total 57
CLEMSON 3 over Wake Forest; total 46
ARIZONA STATE 3 over Washington; total 51
AIR FORCE 10 over Wyoming; total 42
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2009 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 36-14 | .720 | 210-78 | .729 |
| Against the spread | 22-27-1 | .450 | 147-138-3 | .516 |
| Over-under | 22-28 | .440 | 143-142-3 | .502 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-1-1 | .500 | 15-15-2 | .500 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 248-40 |
| Percentage | .86111 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.43663 |
| Mean error | 9.4974 |
| Mean square error | 150.812 |
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