These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 18, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/14
TEXAS STATE 3 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 65
10/16
Utah 1 over OREGON STATE; total 55
Virginia Tech 1 over PITTSBURGH; total 47
10/17
BOISE STATE 17 over Fresno State; total 63
HOUSTON 4 over Temple; total 48
10/18
Akron 5 over OHIO; total 37
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 5 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 73
TROY 4 over Appalachian State; total 65
Army 8 over KENT; total 53
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 12 over Ball State; total 47
Baylor 10 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 73
Cincinnati 13 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 67
Clemson 5 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 55
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 24 over Colorado; total 62
MASSACHUSETTS 3 over Eastern Michigan; total 63
Georgia 8 over ARKANSAS; total 64
SOUTH ALABAMA 19 over Georgia State; total 57
Georgia Tech 8 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 74
SAN DIEGO STATE 6 over Hawaii; total 41
MARYLAND 4 over Iowa; total 50
TEXAS 8 over Iowa State; total 46
TEXAS TECH 8 over Kansas; total 55
OKLAHOMA 14 over Kansas State; total 61
LOUISIANA STATE 9 over Kentucky; total 53
Marshall 16 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 53
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 20 over Miami, Ohio; total 55
Michigan State 12 over INDIANA; total 68
FLORIDA 6 over Missouri; total 51
Nebraska 4 over NORTHWESTERN; total 49
BRIGHAM YOUNG 11 over Nevada; total 57
AIR FORCE 15 over New Mexico; total 53
New Mexico State 2 over IDAHO; total 66
LOUISVILLE 13 over North Carolina State; total 50
FLORIDA STATE 4 over Notre Dame; total 56
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 10 over Oklahoma State; total 67
MINNESOTA 15 over Purdue; total 48
OHIO STATE 11 over Rutgers; total 59
WYOMING pick 'em over San Jose State; total 45
TULSA 1 over South Florida; total 56
NORTH TEXAS 7 over Southern Mississippi; total 59
Stanford 1 over ARIZONA STATE; total 51
Syracuse 3 over WAKE FOREST; total 40
MISSISSIPPI 19 over Tennessee; total 44
ALABAMA 8 over Texas A&M; total 58
LOUISIANA TECH 9 over Texas-San Antonio; total 52
CENTRAL FLORIDA 17 over Tulane; total 47
UCLA 9 over CALIFORNIA; total 78
COLORADO STATE 7 over Utah State; total 53
DUKE 9 over Virginia; total 54
OREGON 13 over Washington; total 63
Western Kentucky 3 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 71
BOWLING GREEN STATE 12 over Western Michigan; total 74
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 28-22 | .560 | 243-96 | .717 |
| Against the spread | 24-25-1 | .490 | 149-181-8 | .453 |
| Over-under | 28-22 | .560 | 172-159-7 | .519 |
| ARGH Picks | 5-3 | .625 | 26-30-2 | .466 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 284-55 |
| Percentage | .83776 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.74263 |
| Mean error | 10.2013 |
| Mean square error | 165.174 |
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