These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 20, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/16Louisiana-Lafayette 8 over NORTH TEXAS; total 52
10/18
Houston 2 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 52
Oregon 10 over ARIZONA STATE; total 68
10/19
SYRACUSE 2 over Connecticut; total 37
10/20
Alabama 27 over TENNESSEE; total 62
Army pick 'em over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 60
VANDERBILT 9 over Auburn; total 39
Ball State 5 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 72
TEXAS 18 over Baylor; total 87
GEORGIA TECH 15 over Boston College; total 65
Bowling Green State 20 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 47
NOTRE DAME 16 over Brigham Young; total 31
Central Florida 21 over MEMPHIS; total 50
Cincinnati 5 over TOLEDO; total 60
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 39 over Colorado; total 58
East Carolina 4 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 54
SOUTH ALABAMA 3 over Florida Atlantic; total 39
TROY 17 over Florida International; total 57
Florida State 12 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 60
Georgia 23 over KENTUCKY; total 62
LOUISIANA TECH 49 over Idaho; total 80
NAVY 7 over Indiana; total 56
Iowa State pick 'em over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 59
OKLAHOMA 31 over Kansas; total 50
Kansas State 11 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 75
TEXAS A&M 2 over Louisiana State; total 58
WESTERN KENTUCKY 10 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 59
Marshall 7 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 75
MICHIGAN 7 over Michigan State; total 40
MISSISSIPPI STATE 25 over Middle Tennessee State; total 55
WISCONSIN 9 over Minnesota; total 40
NORTHWESTERN 3 over Nebraska; total 66
BOISE STATE 30 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 51
New Mexico 1 over AIR FORCE; total 60
UTAH STATE 26 over New Mexico State; total 48
North Carolina 5 over DUKE; total 63
North Carolina State 1 over MARYLAND; total 42
Northern Illinois 25 over AKRON; total 68
IOWA 1 over Penn State; total 35
Pittsburgh 5 over BUFFALO; total 55
OHIO STATE 27 over Purdue; total 66
TULSA 30 over Rice; total 67
Rutgers 9 over TEMPLE; total 39
NEVADA 15 over San Diego State; total 72
San Jose State 3 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 51
FLORIDA 6 over South Carolina; total 40
LOUISVILLE 18 over South Florida; total 53
Stanford 9 over CALIFORNIA; total 52
Texas Tech 1 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 48
TEXAS-EL PASO 6 over Tulane; total 43
OREGON STATE 16 over Utah; total 43
CLEMSON 10 over Virginia Tech; total 62
VIRGINIA 1 over Wake Forest; total 55
ARIZONA 7 over Washington; total 61
KENT 10 over Western Michigan; total 56
FRESNO STATE 23 over Wyoming; total 60
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 42-12 | .778 | 257-86 | .749 |
| Against the spread | 33-21 | .611 | 194-147-2 | .569 |
| Over-under | 34-20 | .630 | 168-171-2 | .496 |
| ARGH Picks | 6-6 | .500 | 23-15 | .605 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 299-44 |
| Percentage | .87172 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.17784 |
| Mean error | 9.8338 |
| Mean square error | 154.138 |
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