These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 21, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-19-17
10/19
ARKANSAS STATE 12 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 73
Memphis pick 'em over HOUSTON; total 58
10/20
Air Force 10 over NEVADA; total 66
Colorado State 6 over NEW MEXICO; total 57
Marshall 6 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 42
Western Kentucky 6 over OLD DOMINION; total 46
10/21
TOLEDO 9 over Akron; total 55
Alabama-Birmingham 19 over CHARLOTTE; total 52
CALIFORNIA 3 over Arizona; total 62
UTAH 4 over Arizona State; total 55
Auburn 10 over ARKANSAS; total 56
VIRGINIA 8 over Boston College; total 48
Brigham Young 3 over EAST CAROLINA; total 55
Buffalo 5 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 52
Central Florida 4 over NAVY; total 66
Central Michigan 1 over BALL STATE; total 51
APPALACHIAN STATE 28 over Coastal Carolina; total 56
WASHINGTON STATE 14 over Colorado; total 53
SAN DIEGO STATE 9 over Fresno State; total 48
MASSACHUSETTS 1 over Georgia Southern; total 57
MISSOURI 8 over Idaho; total 61
MINNESOTA 14 over Illinois; total 46
MICHIGAN STATE 10 over Indiana; total 46
Iowa 5 over NORTHWESTERN; total 48
TEXAS TECH 2 over Iowa State; total 69
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 41 over Kansas; total 64
OHIO 16 over Kent; total 55
MISSISSIPPI STATE 3 over Kentucky; total 50
Louisiana State 7 over MISSISSIPPI; total 59
SOUTH ALABAMA 3 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 65
FLORIDA STATE 8 over Louisville; total 57
WISCONSIN 26 over Maryland; total 60
PENN STATE 10 over Michigan; total 42
VIRGINIA TECH 20 over North Carolina; total 50
FLORIDA ATLANTIC pick 'em over North Texas; total 69
Northern Illinois 15 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 48
Oklahoma 12 over KANSAS STATE; total 59
Oklahoma State 6 over TEXAS; total 67
Oregon 1 over UCLA; total 79
DUKE 12 over Pittsburgh; total 50
Purdue 8 over RUTGERS; total 46
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 17 over Rice; total 46
South Florida 10 over TULANE; total 57
NOTRE DAME 2 over Southern California; total 59
Southern Methodist 13 over CINCINNATI; total 65
Southern Mississippi 1 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 50
MIAMI, FLORIDA 17 over Syracuse; total 56
ARMY 12 over Temple; total 43
ALABAMA 27 over Tennessee; total 47
Troy 6 over GEORGIA STATE; total 41
Tulsa 7 over CONNECTICUT; total 75
Utah State 2 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 65
Wake Forest 3 over GEORGIA TECH; total 50
West Virginia 22 over BAYLOR; total 71
Western Michigan 5 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 56
BOISE STATE 10 over Wyoming; total 45
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 37-22 | .627 | 273-94 | .744 |
| Against the spread | 33-25-1 | .568 | 184-175-7 | .512 |
| Over-under | 26-33 | .441 | 168-196-2 | .462 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-1 | .750 | 34-32-1 | .515 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 308-59 |
| Percentage | .83924 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.73161 |
| Mean error | 10.0218 |
| Mean square error | 160.980 |
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