ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 10-22-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 22, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


Virginia Tech 12 over MARYLAND; total 49


Southern Mississippi 2 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 55


Arizona State 5 over STANFORD; total 58
GEORGIA 30 over Arkansas; total 54
AKRON 19 over Army; total 51
LOUISIANA STATE 9 over Auburn; total 49
OHIO 11 over Ball State; total 59
OKLAHOMA 9 over Baylor; total 41
Boise State 12 over UTAH STATE; total 55
NOTRE DAME 21 over Brigham Young; total 56
TOLEDO 29 over Buffalo; total 43
MEMPHIS 11 over East Carolina; total 53
ARKANSAS STATE 18 over Florida Atlantic; total 56
TROY 10 over Florida International; total 48
Florida State 22 over DUKE; total 50
Fresno State 24 over IDAHO; total 56
MIAMI, FLORIDA 13 over Georgia Tech; total 38
Hawaii 4 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 60
MISSISSIPPI STATE 3 over Houston; total 46
COLORADO 13 over Kansas; total 36
MISSISSIPPI 13 over Kentucky; total 48
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 14 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 43
Louisville 9 over CINCINNATI; total 68
TEXAS-EL PASO 16 over Marshall; total 50
Miami, Ohio 3 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 50
IOWA 2 over Michigan; total 43
Navy 8 over RICE; total 67
Nebraska 1 over MISSOURI; total 54
SAN DIEGO STATE 3 over New Mexico; total 51
WAKE FOREST 4 over North Carolina State; total 52
LOUISIANA TECH 13 over North Texas; total 42
Northern Illinois 9 over KENT; total 58
MICHIGAN STATE 13 over Northwestern; total 73
Ohio State 7 over INDIANA; total 44
IOWA STATE 10 over Oklahoma State; total 42
Oregon 16 over ARIZONA; total 50
UCLA 23 over Oregon State; total 71
Penn State 21 over ILLINOIS; total 51
WISCONSIN 29 over Purdue; total 69
CONNECTICUT 7 over Rutgers; total 45
Southern California 32 over WASHINGTON; total 60
TULSA 20 over Southern Methodist; total 51
PITTSBURGH 12 over Syracuse; total 38
CLEMSON 34 over Temple; total 53
ALABAMA 12 over Tennessee; total 36
KANSAS STATE 1 over Texas A&M; total 61
Texas Christian 7 over AIR FORCE; total 58
TEXAS 24 over Texas Tech; total 71
CENTRAL FLORIDA 12 over Tulane; total 49
Utah 4 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 45
SOUTH CAROLINA 8 over Vanderbilt; total 49
Virginia 1 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 53
CALIFORNIA 16 over Washington State; total 61
SOUTH FLORIDA pick 'em over West Virginia; total 44
BOWLING GREEN STATE 26 over Western Michigan; total 70
COLORADO STATE 5 over Wyoming; total 52

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread24-30.444155-178-5.466
ARGH Early Bird Picks2-0.80017-9.654
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks2-0.0007-2.778

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team1.42678
Mean error10.1827
Mean square error158.556

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