This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 22, 2016. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!

Revised 10-21-16


BOISE STATE 13 over Brigham Young; total 54
VIRGINIA TECH pick 'em over Miami, Florida; total 51
Troy 13 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 54


CALIFORNIA 9 over Oregon; total 88
SAN DIEGO STATE 20 over San Jose State; total 53
South Florida 6 over TEMPLE; total 65


BALL STATE pick 'em over Akron; total 61
AUBURN 8 over Arkansas; total 56
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 15 over Buffalo; total 56
Central Florida 2 over CONNECTICUT; total 49
TOLEDO 8 over Central Michigan; total 65
MARSHALL 13 over Charlotte; total 72
Colorado 2 over STANFORD; total 46
Colorado State pick 'em over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 57
CINCINNATI 4 over East Carolina; total 54
WESTERN MICHIGAN 25 over Eastern Michigan; total 63
UTAH STATE 12 over Fresno State; total 48
Georgia Southern 14 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 66
AIR FORCE 17 over Hawaii; total 68
Houston 23 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 59
APPALACHIAN STATE 13 over Idaho; total 50
MICHIGAN 31 over Illinois; total 54
NORTHWESTERN 3 over Indiana; total 48
Louisiana Tech 12 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 67
TEXAS STATE 3 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 65
NEW MEXICO 11 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 73
SOUTH CAROLINA 10 over Massachusetts; total 41
Memphis 1 over NAVY; total 57
BOWLING GREEN STATE 6 over Miami, Ohio; total 54
MARYLAND 11 over Michigan State; total 55
MISSOURI 5 over Middle Tennessee State; total 63
LOUISIANA STATE 8 over Mississippi; total 57
KENTUCKY 3 over Mississippi State; total 55
North Carolina 15 over VIRGINIA; total 62
LOUISVILLE 14 over North Carolina State; total 67
ARMY 10 over North Texas; total 48
Ohio 5 over KENT; total 51
Ohio State 18 over PENN STATE; total 61
Oklahoma 13 over TEXAS TECH; total 88
Oklahoma State 20 over KANSAS; total 63
WESTERN KENTUCKY 4 over Old Dominion; total 67
WASHINGTON 27 over Oregon State; total 59
NEBRASKA 28 over Purdue; total 59
MINNESOTA 16 over Rutgers; total 51
BOSTON COLLEGE 2 over Syracuse; total 51
KANSAS STATE 7 over Texas; total 61
ALABAMA 13 over Texas A&M; total 62
WEST VIRGINIA 17 over Texas Christian; total 61
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 16 over Texas-El Paso; total 48
TULSA 8 over Tulane; total 63
Utah 2 over UCLA; total 41
Washington State 1 over ARIZONA STATE; total 72
Wisconsin 6 over IOWA; total 40
Wyoming 12 over NEVADA; total 53

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page. Picks found to be against incorrectly posted lines will be removed.

2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread25-26-2.491182-171-7.515
ARGH Picks7-3.70031-32.492

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team-0.37222
Mean error10.1896
Mean square error170.967

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