These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 22, 2016. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-21-16
10/20
BOISE STATE 13 over Brigham Young; total 54
VIRGINIA TECH pick 'em over Miami, Florida; total 51
Troy 13 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 54
10/21
CALIFORNIA 9 over Oregon; total 88
SAN DIEGO STATE 20 over San Jose State; total 53
South Florida 6 over TEMPLE; total 65
10/22
BALL STATE pick 'em over Akron; total 61
AUBURN 8 over Arkansas; total 56
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 15 over Buffalo; total 56
Central Florida 2 over CONNECTICUT; total 49
TOLEDO 8 over Central Michigan; total 65
MARSHALL 13 over Charlotte; total 72
Colorado 2 over STANFORD; total 46
Colorado State pick 'em over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 57
CINCINNATI 4 over East Carolina; total 54
WESTERN MICHIGAN 25 over Eastern Michigan; total 63
UTAH STATE 12 over Fresno State; total 48
Georgia Southern 14 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 66
AIR FORCE 17 over Hawaii; total 68
Houston 23 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 59
APPALACHIAN STATE 13 over Idaho; total 50
MICHIGAN 31 over Illinois; total 54
NORTHWESTERN 3 over Indiana; total 48
Louisiana Tech 12 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 67
TEXAS STATE 3 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 65
NEW MEXICO 11 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 73
SOUTH CAROLINA 10 over Massachusetts; total 41
Memphis 1 over NAVY; total 57
BOWLING GREEN STATE 6 over Miami, Ohio; total 54
MARYLAND 11 over Michigan State; total 55
MISSOURI 5 over Middle Tennessee State; total 63
LOUISIANA STATE 8 over Mississippi; total 57
KENTUCKY 3 over Mississippi State; total 55
North Carolina 15 over VIRGINIA; total 62
LOUISVILLE 14 over North Carolina State; total 67
ARMY 10 over North Texas; total 48
Ohio 5 over KENT; total 51
Ohio State 18 over PENN STATE; total 61
Oklahoma 13 over TEXAS TECH; total 88
Oklahoma State 20 over KANSAS; total 63
WESTERN KENTUCKY 4 over Old Dominion; total 67
WASHINGTON 27 over Oregon State; total 59
NEBRASKA 28 over Purdue; total 59
MINNESOTA 16 over Rutgers; total 51
BOSTON COLLEGE 2 over Syracuse; total 51
KANSAS STATE 7 over Texas; total 61
ALABAMA 13 over Texas A&M; total 62
WEST VIRGINIA 17 over Texas Christian; total 61
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 16 over Texas-El Paso; total 48
TULSA 8 over Tulane; total 63
Utah 2 over UCLA; total 41
Washington State 1 over ARIZONA STATE; total 72
Wisconsin 6 over IOWA; total 40
Wyoming 12 over NEVADA; total 53
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 37-16 | .698 | 264-96 | .733 |
| Against the spread | 25-26-2 | .491 | 182-171-7 | .515 |
| Over-under | 23-29-1 | .443 | 163-193-4 | .458 |
| ARGH Picks | 7-3 | .700 | 31-32 | .492 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 307-53 |
| Percentage | .85278 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.37222 |
| Mean error | 10.1896 |
| Mean square error | 170.967 |
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