This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 24, 2009. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

10/21

Tulsa 6 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 56

10/22

NORTH CAROLINA 6 over Florida State; total 46

10/23

Rutgers 8 over ARMY; total 40

10/24

UTAH 6 over Air Force; total 38
SYRACUSE 8 over Akron; total 50
MARSHALL 9 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 51
STANFORD 3 over Arizona State; total 49
MISSISSIPPI 6 over Arkansas; total 53
LOUISIANA STATE 11 over Auburn; total 49
EASTERN MICHIGAN 4 over Ball State; total 51
Boise State 22 over HAWAII; total 55
NOTRE DAME 5 over Boston College; total 55
WESTERN MICHIGAN 5 over Buffalo; total 50
Central Florida 12 over RICE; total 52
Central Michigan 10 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 54
MIAMI, FLORIDA 7 over Clemson; total 44
KANSAS STATE 5 over Colorado; total 53
WEST VIRGINIA 5 over Connecticut; total 49
Florida 19 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 47
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 10 over Florida Atlantic; total 57
ARKANSAS STATE 10 over Florida International; total 56
Fresno State 13 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 52
Georgia Tech 7 over VIRGINIA; total 51
Idaho pick 'em over NEVADA; total 58
PURDUE 11 over Illinois; total 51
NORTHWESTERN 4 over Indiana; total 50
Iowa 7 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 43
NEBRASKA 13 over Iowa State; total 44
OHIO 11 over Kent; total 45
Louisiana Tech 4 over UTAH STATE; total 54
KENTUCKY 8 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 55
CINCINNATI 25 over Louisville; total 53
DUKE 12 over Maryland; total 61
OHIO STATE 10 over Minnesota; total 42
Nevada-Las Vegas 7 over NEW MEXICO; total 57
TROY 21 over North Texas; total 60
Northern Illinois 14 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 44
KANSAS 1 over Oklahoma; total 51
Oklahoma State 4 over BAYLOR; total 57
Oregon 7 over WASHINGTON; total 52
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 13 over Oregon State; total 44
Penn State 3 over MICHIGAN; total 49
COLORADO STATE 8 over San Diego State; total 51
PITTSBURGH 7 over South Florida; total 49
HOUSTON 21 over Southern Methodist; total 70
TOLEDO 5 over Temple; total 58
ALABAMA 20 over Tennessee; total 47
Texas 14 over MISSOURI; total 53
TEXAS TECH 21 over Texas A&M; total 68
Texas Christian 4 over BRIGHAM YOUNG; total 55
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 18 over Tulane; total 54
ARIZONA 8 over UCLA; total 50
SOUTH CAROLINA 11 over Vanderbilt; total 34
NAVY 9 over Wake Forest; total 53
CALIFORNIA 23 over Washington State; total 54
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 20 over Western Kentucky; total 50



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2009 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up42-12.778252-90.737
Against the spread24-28-2.463171-166-5.507
Over-under24-29-1.454167-171-4.494
ARGH Picks1-1.50016-16-2.500

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record301-41
Percentage.88012
Bias toward home team-0.08918
Mean error9.4737
Mean square error152.675

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