These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 27, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-25-18
10/23
Troy 14 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 62
10/25
Appalachian State 2 over GEORGIA SOUTHERN; total 52
OHIO 11 over Ball State; total 62
WEST VIRGINIA 15 over Baylor; total 63
VIRGINIA TECH 10 over Georgia Tech; total 63
WESTERN MICHIGAN 12 over Toledo; total 76
10/26
MINNESOTA 1 over Indiana; total 55
Louisiana Tech 5 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 62
Miami, Florida 3 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 62
Utah 10 over UCLA; total 49
COLORADO STATE 3 over Wyoming; total 48
10/27
Alabama-Birmingham 24 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 44
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 5 over Arizona State; total 50
LOUISIANA pick 'em over Arkansas State; total 65
Army 5 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 51
Boise State 8 over AIR FORCE; total 55
AKRON 11 over Central Michigan; total 43
Cincinnati 12 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 56
Clemson 20 over FLORIDA STATE; total 49
Coastal Carolina 7 over GEORGIA STATE; total 62
Duke 8 over PITTSBURGH; total 48
Florida International 16 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 53
Georgia 2 over Florida; total 53
FRESNO STATE 21 over Hawaii; total 58
MARYLAND 15 over Illinois; total 53
Iowa 1 over PENN STATE; total 54
OKLAHOMA 27 over Kansas State; total 66
Kentucky 8 over MISSOURI; total 54
Massachusetts 4 over CONNECTICUT; total 81
Middle Tennessee State 10 over OLD DOMINION; total 62
Nevada-Las Vegas 7 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 66
UTAH STATE 25 over New Mexico; total 73
New Mexico State 1 over TEXAS STATE; total 59
VIRGINIA 18 over North Carolina; total 48
North Carolina State pick 'em over SYRACUSE; total 60
BRIGHAM YOUNG 3 over Northern Illinois; total 41
Notre Dame 31 over Navy; total 58
Oregon 9 over ARIZONA; total 65
COLORADO 31 over Oregon State; total 70
MICHIGAN STATE 2 over Purdue; total 52
NORTH TEXAS 31 over Rice; total 58
San Diego State 5 over NEVADA; total 49
HOUSTON 3 over South Florida; total 73
Southern Mississippi 2 over CHARLOTTE; total 45
SOUTH CAROLINA 11 over Tennessee; total 55
Texas 9 over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 63
MISSISSIPPI STATE 3 over Texas A&M; total 43
Texas Christian 10 over KANSAS; total 52
IOWA STATE 1 over Texas Tech; total 60
Tulane 2 over TULSA; total 48
Vanderbilt 6 over ARKANSAS; total 51
Wake Forest 3 over LOUISVILLE; total 62
Washington 11 over CALIFORNIA; total 43
STANFORD 5 over Washington State; total 55
Wisconsin 3 over NORTHWESTERN; total 49
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 47-7 | .870 | 309-108 | .741 |
| Against the spread | 27-27 | .500 | 200-208-9 | .490 |
| Over-under | 22-31-1 | .417 | 214-198-5 | .519 |
| ARGH Picks | 4-7 | .364 | 24-29-2 | .455 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 354-63 |
| Percentage | .84892 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.07374 |
| Mean error | 10.4394 |
| Mean square error | 168.760 |
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