This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 3, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/1
OHIO 28 over Eastern Michigan; total 60
WESTERN KENTUCKY 14 over Middle Tennessee State; total 54
MIAMI, FLORIDA 2 over Virginia Tech; total 57

11/2

Washington 2 over CALIFORNIA; total 49

11/3

Air Force 19 over ARMY; total 64
KENT 31 over Akron; total 66
Alabama 10 over LOUISIANA STATE; total 42
Alabama-Birmingham 4 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 67
UCLA 3 over Arizona; total 70
OREGON STATE 13 over Arizona State; total 49
Arkansas State 5 over NORTH TEXAS; total 54
WAKE FOREST 7 over Boston College; total 50
Clemson 11 over DUKE; total 68
WYOMING 5 over Colorado State; total 52
SOUTH FLORIDA 5 over Connecticut; total 43
NAVY 19 over Florida Atlantic; total 47
SOUTH ALABAMA 4 over Florida International; total 53
MARYLAND 1 over Georgia Tech; total 52
FRESNO STATE 34 over Hawaii; total 65
EAST CAROLINA 5 over Houston; total 63
OHIO STATE 36 over Illinois; total 58
INDIANA pick 'em over Iowa; total 52
BAYLOR 24 over Kansas; total 70
LOUISIANA-MONROE 15 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 69
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 40 over Massachusetts; total 57
MARSHALL 27 over Memphis; total 71
Miami, Ohio 5 over BUFFALO; total 56
Michigan 9 over MINNESOTA; total 44
GEORGIA 22 over Mississippi; total 62
FLORIDA 18 over Missouri; total 39
Nebraska pick 'em over MICHIGAN STATE; total 47
New Mexico 9 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 59
AUBURN 16 over New Mexico State; total 47
Oklahoma 4 over IOWA STATE; total 45
KANSAS STATE 22 over Oklahoma State; total 66
Oregon 10 over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA; total 70
Penn State 5 over PURDUE; total 54
NOTRE DAME 25 over Pittsburgh; total 38
Rice 4 over TULANE; total 58
BOISE STATE 18 over San Diego State; total 49
San Jose State 28 over IDAHO; total 56
CENTRAL FLORIDA 15 over Southern Methodist; total 56
Stanford 31 over COLORADO; total 55
CINCINNATI 11 over Syracuse; total 52
LOUISVILLE 22 over Temple; total 53
TEXAS TECH 11 over Texas; total 74
MISSISSIPPI STATE 1 over Texas A&M; total 62
WEST VIRGINIA 4 over Texas Christian; total 72
UTAH STATE 21 over Texas State; total 47
LOUISIANA TECH 27 over Texas-San Antonio; total 81
TENNESSEE 16 over Troy; total 66
Tulsa 8 over ARKANSAS; total 63
Vanderbilt 9 over KENTUCKY; total 44
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 18 over Virginia; total 50
UTAH 14 over Washington State; total 46
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 5 over Western Michigan; total 65


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up39-19.672339-118.742
Against the spread29-28-1.509254-199-4.560
Over-under26-32.448219-233-3.485
ARGH Picks4-4.50035-24.593

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record404-53
Percentage.88403
Bias toward home team-0.09847
Mean error9.9623
Mean square error157.442

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