These are the ARGH system predictions for the games of the weekend of November 4, 2023. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Revised 10-29-23

10/31

TOLEDO 23 over Buffalo; total 58

Northern Illinois 3 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 48

11/1

BOWLING GREEN 12 over Ball State; total 44

AKRON 1 over Kent State; total 42

11/2

TROY 9 over South Alabama; total 45

Texas Christian 1 over TEXAS TECH; total 54

DUKE 12 over Wake Forest; total 39

11/3

SYRACUSE 4 over Boston College; total 55

WYOMING 11 over Colorado State; total 56

11/4

UTAH 13 over Arizona State; total 34

FLORIDA 7 over Arkansas; total 48

Air Force 20 over Army; total 40

Auburn 10 over VANDERBILT; total 54

FRESNO STATE 12 over Boise State; total 56

WEST VIRGINIA 6 over Brigham Young; total 54

OREGON 28 over California; total 67

Central Florida 2 over CINCINNATI; total 62

TULSA 7 over Charlotte; total 47

Coastal Carolina 6 over OLD DOMINION; total 49

TENNESSEE 25 over Connecticut; total 50

Florida Atlantic 1 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 61

Florida State 29 over PITTSBURGH; total 58

Georgia Southern 6 over TEXAS STATE; total 65

Georgia Tech 5 over VIRGINIA; total 63

NEVADA 6 over Hawaii; total 53

BAYLOR 1 over Houston; total 56

MINNESOTA 7 over Illinois; total 45

Iowa 6 over NORTHWESTERN; total 37

Jacksonville State 4 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 51

James Madison 9 over GEORGIA STATE; total 55

IOWA STATE pick 'em over Kansas; total 54

TEXAS 9 over Kansas State; total 49

SAM HOUSTON STATE 5 over Kennesaw State; total 36

MISSISSIPPI STATE 2 over Kentucky; total 52

Louisiana 7 over ARKANSAS STATE; total 61

ALABAMA 11 over Louisiana State; total 64

LIBERTY 27 over Louisiana Tech; total 59

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 2 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 59

APPALACHIAN STATE 1 over Marshall; total 62

Miami, Florida 3 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 51

NEW MEXICO STATE 9 over Middle Tennessee State; total 54

GEORGIA 13 over Missouri; total 57

Navy 8 over TEMPLE; total 46

Nebraska 6 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 40

Nevada-Las Vegas 12 over NEW MEXICO; total 65

Notre Dame 9 over CLEMSON; total 52

Ohio State 13 over RUTGERS; total 42

Oklahoma 10 over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 60

Oregon State 10 over COLORADO; total 65

Penn State 14 over MARYLAND; total 54

MICHIGAN 30 over Purdue; total 50

MEMPHIS 19 over South Florida; total 66

Southern Methodist 10 over RICE; total 60

WASHINGTON STATE 18 over Stanford; total 64

MISSISSIPPI 11 over Texas A&M; total 55

Texas-San Antonio 8 over NORTH TEXAS; total 70

Tulane 17 over EAST CAROLINA; total 44

UCLA 3 over ARIZONA; total 45

Utah State 4 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 60

LOUISVILLE 15 over Virginia Tech; total 49

Washington 9 over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA; total 76

Western Kentucky 10 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 53

Wisconsin 11 over INDIANA; total 45

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

- Colorado State-Wyoming over 42
- Connecticut +35.5
- Jacksonville State +15.5
- Liberty -16.5

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page. Picks found to be against incorrectly posted lines will be removed.

2023 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 39-15 | .722 | 362-122 | .748 |

Against the spread | 33-21 | .611 | 239-235-10 | .504 |

Over-under | 26-28 | .481 | 238-238-8 | .500 |

ARGH Picks | 1-1 | .500 | 34-43-2 | .443 |

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 411-73 |

Percentage | 0.84917 |

Bias toward home team | 0.01808 |

Mean error | 10.1472 |

Mean square error | 161.646 |

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