ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 11-05-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 5, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


MEMPHIS 14 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 53


WEST VIRGINIA 14 over Connecticut; total 48


LOUISVILLE 18 over Pittsburgh; total 65


Toledo 5 over OHIO; total 53


BALL STATE 3 over Akron; total 59
Alabama 16 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 31
Arizona State 3 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 71
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 2 over Arkansas State; total 41
AIR FORCE 13 over Army; total 52
Auburn 18 over KENTUCKY; total 50
Boston College 6 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 41
Bowling Green State 10 over KENT; total 59
Brigham Young 12 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 55
MIAMI, OHIO 30 over Buffalo; total 45
OREGON 13 over California; total 56
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 15 over Colorado State; total 57
CLEMSON 27 over Duke; total 50
TROY 8 over Florida Atlantic; total 40
LOUISIANA-MONROE 15 over Florida International; total 48
NEVADA 10 over Hawaii; total 64
CENTRAL FLORIDA 6 over Houston; total 56
OHIO STATE 31 over Illinois; total 51
NORTHWESTERN 8 over Iowa; total 57
IOWA STATE 12 over Kansas State; total 49
Louisiana Tech 6 over UTAH STATE; total 48
NORTH TEXAS 1 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 47
VIRGINIA TECH 12 over Miami, Florida; total 40
Michigan State 4 over PURDUE; total 67
Minnesota 8 over INDIANA; total 61
COLORADO 17 over Missouri; total 54
KANSAS pick 'em over Nebraska; total 35
BOISE STATE 34 over New Mexico State; total 59
FLORIDA STATE 20 over North Carolina State; total 52
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 8 over Northern Illinois; total 48
Oregon State 5 over WASHINGTON; total 59
SOUTHERN METHODIST 13 over Rice; total 57
FRESNO STATE 35 over San Jose State; total 57
South Carolina 2 over ARKANSAS; total 59
RUTGERS 3 over South Florida; total 43
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 36 over Stanford; total 64
VIRGINIA 33 over Temple; total 51
NOTRE DAME 12 over Tennessee; total 46
Texas 25 over BAYLOR; total 55
TEXAS TECH 23 over Texas A&M; total 71
NAVY 17 over Tulane; total 52
TEXAS-EL PASO 11 over Tulsa; total 56
UCLA 19 over ARIZONA; total 55
FLORIDA 20 over Vanderbilt; total 46
GEORGIA TECH 13 over Wake Forest; total 47
Western Michigan 3 over Eastern Michigan; total 55
PENN STATE 15 over Wisconsin; total 58
UTAH 2 over Wyoming; total 49

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread20-24-2.457197-233-8.459
ARGH Early Bird Picks3-2-1.57122-14-1.608
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks0-0NA8-4.667

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team1.89212
Mean error10.1809
Mean square error164.703

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