These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 8, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/4
AKRON 2 over Bowling Green State; total 57
Toledo 19 over KENT; total 57
11/5
OHIO 6 over Buffalo; total 54
Northern Illinois 5 over BALL STATE; total 56
11/6
Clemson 19 over WAKE FOREST; total 41
11/7
Memphis 3 over TEMPLE; total 49
Utah State 6 over WYOMING; total 48
11/8
Air Force 16 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 53
Alabama 3 over LOUISIANA STATE; total 45
Connecticut 4 over Army; total 48
OKLAHOMA 9 over Baylor; total 72
Boise State 21 over NEW MEXICO; total 63
ARIZONA 29 over Colorado; total 71
Duke 10 over SYRACUSE; total 45
Florida 15 over VANDERBILT; total 51
Florida Atlantic pick 'em over NORTH TEXAS; total 61
OLD DOMINION 4 over Florida International; total 60
Georgia 9 over KENTUCKY; total 59
Georgia Southern 8 over TEXAS STATE; total 67
TROY 3 over Georgia State; total 66
Georgia Tech 6 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 63
COLORADO STATE 24 over Hawaii; total 48
SAN DIEGO STATE 15 over Idaho; total 50
MINNESOTA 3 over Iowa; total 45
Iowa State 3 over KANSAS; total 53
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 4 over Kansas State; total 66
Louisiana Tech 6 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 64
Louisiana-Lafayette 19 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 62
APPALACHIAN STATE 3 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 51
Louisville pick 'em over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 43
Marshall 24 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 58
Michigan pick 'em over NORTHWESTERN; total 35
ARIZONA STATE 1 over Notre Dame; total 57
MICHIGAN STATE 3 over Ohio State; total 71
Oregon 6 over UTAH; total 64
Penn State 3 over INDIANA; total 48
San Jose State 1 over FRESNO STATE; total 59
ARKANSAS STATE 7 over South Alabama; total 47
TULSA 14 over Southern Methodist; total 61
AUBURN 22 over Texas A&M; total 64
WESTERN KENTUCKY pick 'em over Texas-El Paso; total 79
RICE 12 over Texas-San Antonio; total 48
HOUSTON 17 over Tulane; total 42
UCLA 8 over WASHINGTON; total 56
FLORIDA STATE 26 over Virginia; total 58
OREGON STATE 7 over Washington State; total 66
West Virginia 6 over TEXAS; total 50
Wisconsin 14 over PURDUE; total 53
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 41-13 | .759 | 359-135 | .727 |
| Against the spread | 30-23-1 | .565 | 221-261-11 | .459 |
| Over-under | 26-28 | .481 | 241-242-10 | .499 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-1 | .750 | 30-34-2 | .470 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 423-71 |
| Percentage | .85628 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.72925 |
| Mean error | 10.2799 |
| Mean square error | 169.210 |
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