ARGH Game Predictions (Weekend of November 11, 2006)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 11, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!

Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.


NORTHERN ILLINOIS 17 over Toledo; total 57


AKRON 14 over Buffalo; total 53
RUTGERS 2 over Louisville; total 48
BRIGHAM YOUNG 15 over Wyoming; total 41


ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 1 over Texas-El Paso; total 50
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 5 over Western Michigan; total 50


LOUISIANA STATE 16 over Alabama; total 41
OKLAHOMA STATE 16 over Baylor; total 61
Boise State 18 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 51
California 15 over ARIZONA; total 42
Central Florida pick 'em over MEMPHIS; total 56
WEST VIRGINIA 17 over Cincinnati; total 46
UTAH 9 over Colorado State; total 37
BOSTON COLLEGE 30 over Duke; total 42
AUBURN 15 over Georgia; total 36
Georgia Tech 21 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 51
Houston 6 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 53
COLORADO 1 over Iowa State; total 39
VIRGINIA TECH 19 over Kent; total 37
HAWAII 34 over Louisiana Tech; total 72
Louisiana-Monroe 1 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 36
EAST CAROLINA 10 over Marshall; total 50
MARYLAND 6 over Miami, Florida; total 39
Michigan 25 over INDIANA; total 53
Middle Tennessee State 5 over ARKANSAS STATE; total 37
MICHIGAN STATE pick 'em over Minnesota; total 59
Navy 16 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 42
TEXAS A&M 4 over Nebraska; total 53
SAN DIEGO STATE 6 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 45
FRESNO STATE 9 over New Mexico State; total 63
CLEMSON 20 over North Carolina State; total 45
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 16 over North Texas; total 44
Notre Dame 11 over AIR FORCE; total 53
Ohio State 24 over NORTHWESTERN; total 36
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 15 over Oregon; total 56
Oregon State 2 over UCLA; total 43
Pittsburgh 7 over CONNECTICUT; total 44
Purdue 3 over ILLINOIS; total 48
TULSA 19 over Rice; total 56
FLORIDA 16 over South Carolina; total 36
Southern Mississippi 6 over TULANE; total 53
WASHINGTON 23 over Stanford; total 44
SOUTH FLORIDA 9 over Syracuse; total 40
PENN STATE 28 over Temple; total 44
ARKANSAS 4 over Tennessee; total 52
Texas 15 over KANSAS STATE; total 47
Texas Christian 7 over NEW MEXICO; total 36
OKLAHOMA 15 over Texas Tech; total 50
Troy 3 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 40
NEVADA 27 over Utah State; total 49
KENTUCKY 8 over Vanderbilt; total 52
FLORIDA STATE pick 'em over Wake Forest; total 41
Washington State 2 over ARIZONA STATE; total 47
Wisconsin 8 over IOWA; total 39

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread30-23-1.565270-224-16.545
ARGH Picks1-1.50018-10-2.633

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team0.25539
Mean error9.8936
Mean square error160.241

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