ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 11-12-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 12, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/8

Southern Mississippi 5 over MARSHALL; total 50

11/9

West Virginia 12 over CINCINNATI; total 50

11/10

FRESNO STATE 14 over Boise State; total 61

11/11

LOUISVILLE 20 over Rutgers; total 68

11/12

UCLA 13 over Arizona State; total 71
MISSISSIPPI 3 over Arkansas; total 40
GEORGIA 8 over Auburn; total 45
EASTERN MICHIGAN 7 over Ball State; total 56
MISSOURI 12 over Baylor; total 53
WYOMING 1 over Brigham Young; total 58
KENT 14 over Buffalo; total 42
Central Florida 1 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 54
WESTERN MICHIGAN 2 over Central Michigan; total 58
Colorado 3 over IOWA STATE; total 44
PITTSBURGH 5 over Connecticut; total 47
TULSA 16 over East Carolina; total 55
Florida 2 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 49
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 13 over Florida International; total 54
Florida State pick 'em over CLEMSON; total 52
VIRGINIA 1 over Georgia Tech; total 43
PURDUE 21 over Illinois; total 60
MICHIGAN 22 over Indiana; total 48
WISCONSIN 15 over Iowa; total 54
TEXAS 31 over Kansas; total 50
NEBRASKA 9 over Kansas State; total 48
VANDERBILT 18 over Kentucky; total 60
ALABAMA 10 over Louisiana State; total 35
Louisiana Tech 11 over IDAHO; total 48
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 11 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 39
NORTH CAROLINA 5 over Maryland; total 45
TENNESSEE 11 over Memphis; total 42
Miami, Florida 17 over WAKE FOREST; total 46
MINNESOTA 15 over Michigan State; total 67
NOTRE DAME 27 over Navy; total 63
Nevada 16 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 59
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 32 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 50
UTAH 6 over New Mexico; total 55
BOSTON COLLEGE 10 over North Carolina State; total 39
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 3 over North Texas; total 40
OHIO STATE 16 over Northwestern; total 55
Oregon 14 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 63
COLORADO STATE 15 over San Diego State; total 50
South Florida 14 over SYRACUSE; total 41
Southern California 20 over CALIFORNIA; total 64
OREGON STATE 6 over Stanford; total 58
OKLAHOMA 15 over Texas A&M; total 60
Texas Tech 23 over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 63
ARKANSAS STATE 10 over Troy; total 50
Tulane 2 over RICE; total 60
HAWAII 14 over Utah State; total 56
ARIZONA 14 over Washington; total 43

11/13

HOUSTON 1 over Southern Mississippi; total 60


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up40-12.769350-140.714
Against the spread31-19-2.615228-252-10.476
Over-under20-22.476168-191-5.468
ARGH Early Bird Picks3-2.60025-16-1.607
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks0-0NA8-4.667

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record405-85
Percentage.82653
Bias toward home team1.51786
Mean error10.1679
Mean square error168.527

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