This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 12, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Northern Illinois 3 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 73
TOLEDO 9 over Western Michigan; total 69

11/9

TEMPLE 11 over Miami, Ohio; total 38

11/10

Houston 44 over TULANE; total 75
Ohio 11 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 56
Virginia Tech 2 over GEORGIA TECH; total 53

11/11

SYRACUSE pick 'em over South Florida; total 56

11/12

Alabama 15 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 41
MEMPHIS 3 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 49
Arizona 10 over COLORADO; total 61
Arizona State 14 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 59
GEORGIA 11 over Auburn; total 57
Baylor 19 over KANSAS; total 80
EASTERN MICHIGAN 11 over Buffalo; total 46
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 16 over Central Florida; total 45
VIRGINIA 14 over Duke; total 47
TEXAS-EL PASO 3 over East Carolina; total 61
SOUTH CAROLINA 10 over Florida; total 47
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 22 over Florida Atlantic; total 44
Fresno State pick 'em over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 67
NEVADA 12 over Hawaii; total 62
BRIGHAM YOUNG 18 over Idaho; total 44
Kent 7 over AKRON; total 40
VANDERBILT 9 over Kentucky; total 43
Louisiana Tech 5 over MISSISSIPPI; total 55
ARKANSAS STATE 9 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 59
TULSA 13 over Marshall; total 52
FLORIDA STATE 8 over Miami, Florida; total 50
Michigan 3 over ILLINOIS; total 43
Michigan State 3 over IOWA; total 45
LOUISIANA-MONROE 8 over Middle Tennessee State; total 58
SOUTHERN METHODIST 13 over Navy; total 58
PENN STATE 8 over Nebraska; total 41
Nevada-Las Vegas 15 over NEW MEXICO; total 59
North Carolina State 8 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 46
TROY pick 'em over North Texas; total 57
Notre Dame 19 over MARYLAND; total 55
Ohio State 5 over PURDUE; total 45
Oklahoma State 29 over TEXAS TECH; total 80
STANFORD 12 over Oregon; total 70
CALIFORNIA 14 over Oregon State; total 48
LOUISVILLE 5 over Pittsburgh; total 40
NORTHWESTERN 12 over Rice; total 68
Rutgers 15 over Army; total 50
San Diego State 11 over COLORADO STATE; total 50
UTAH STATE 10 over San Jose State; total 59
ARKANSAS 16 over Tennessee; total 54
Texas 4 over MISSOURI; total 54
KANSAS STATE 5 over Texas A&M; total 63
BOISE STATE 23 over Texas Christian; total 65
UTAH 5 over UCLA; total 45
CLEMSON 20 over Wake Forest; total 65
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 14 over Washington; total 66
CINCINNATI 14 over West Virginia; total 70
LOUISIANA STATE 33 over Western Kentucky; total 45
Wisconsin 27 over MINNESOTA; total 61
AIR FORCE 8 over Wyoming; total 63

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football (This affected the UTEP-Rice game on November 5). This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:

• Houston -33.5
• Penn State +3
• Oklahoma State -17
• Cincinnati -3

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record	413-82
Percentage	.83434
Bias toward home team	-0.29192
Mean error	10.2404
Mean square error	171.982

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