These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 15, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/11
Akron 4 over BUFFALO; total 50
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 6 over Toledo; total 67
11/12
Ball State 1 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 63
BOWLING GREEN STATE 24 over Kent; total 55
11/13
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 19 over California; total 76
CINCINNATI pick 'em over East Carolina; total 65
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 1 over Southern Mississippi; total 42
11/14
CENTRAL FLORIDA 21 over Tulsa; total 57
11/15
ARKANSAS STATE 19 over Appalachian State; total 62
Arizona State 19 over OREGON STATE; total 57
WESTERN KENTUCKY 21 over Army; total 77
Auburn 2 over GEORGIA; total 69
GEORGIA TECH 1 over Clemson; total 61
WESTERN MICHIGAN 26 over Eastern Michigan; total 57
Florida State 7 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 60
Georgia Southern 6 over NAVY; total 67
SAN JOSE STATE 9 over Hawaii; total 46
RUTGERS 11 over Indiana; total 56
Iowa 2 over ILLINOIS; total 58
TENNESSEE 8 over Kentucky; total 54
Louisiana State 6 over ARKANSAS; total 52
Louisiana-Lafayette 9 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 49
Memphis 15 over TULANE; total 47
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 15 over Miami, Ohio; total 47
Michigan State 7 over MARYLAND; total 69
Middle Tennessee State 9 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 55
ALABAMA 6 over Mississippi State; total 51
TEXAS A&M 7 over Missouri; total 57
WISCONSIN 2 over Nebraska; total 55
AIR FORCE 2 over Nevada; total 53
BRIGHAM YOUNG 28 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 60
UTAH STATE 19 over New Mexico; total 53
TEXAS-EL PASO 10 over North Texas; total 59
NOTRE DAME 19 over Northwestern; total 46
Ohio State 9 over MINNESOTA; total 62
Oklahoma 24 over TEXAS TECH; total 70
NORTH CAROLINA 5 over Pittsburgh; total 75
MARSHALL 25 over Rice; total 62
BOISE STATE 20 over San Diego State; total 56
FLORIDA 14 over South Carolina; total 66
South Florida 11 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 51
PENN STATE 3 over Temple; total 34
Texas pick 'em over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 47
Texas Christian 29 over KANSAS; total 58
SOUTH ALABAMA 2 over Texas State; total 48
IDAHO 5 over Troy; total 61
STANFORD 1 over Utah; total 41
DUKE 13 over Virginia Tech; total 47
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 15 over Wake Forest; total 47
ARIZONA 13 over Washington; total 59
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 37-11 | .771 | 396-146 | .731 |
| Against the spread | 26-20-2 | .563 | 247-281-13 | .469 |
| Over-under | 25-23 | .521 | 266-265-10 | .502 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-0 | 1.000 | 33-34-2 | .493 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 461-81 |
| Percentage | .85055 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.47601 |
| Mean error | 10.4977 |
| Mean square error | 173.063 |
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