This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 16, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/12

TOLEDO 3 over Buffalo; total 56
BOWLING GREEN STATE 4 over Ohio; total 47

11/13

NORTHERN ILLINOIS 8 over Ball State; total 74
KENT 17 over Miami, Ohio; total 41

11/14

CLEMSON 9 over Georgia Tech; total 60
Marshall 18 over TULSA; total 61

11/15

UCLA 6 over Washington; total 57

11/16

Akron 8 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 42
Alabama 24 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 52
EAST CAROLINA 35 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 71
Baylor 28 over Texas Tech; total 79
COLORADO 13 over California; total 71
Central Florida 25 over TEMPLE; total 52
Central Michigan 7 over WESTERN MICHIGAN; total 53
RUTGERS 2 over Cincinnati; total 56
Colorado State 4 over NEW MEXICO; total 71
SOUTHERN METHODIST 23 over Connecticut; total 65
SOUTH CAROLINA 11 over Florida; total 41
Florida Atlantic 22 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 52
TEXAS-EL PASO 11 over Florida International; total 56
AUBURN 14 over Georgia; total 64
LOUISVILLE 9 over Houston; total 54
WISCONSIN 25 over Indiana; total 74
OKLAHOMA 28 over Iowa State; total 54
VANDERBILT 17 over Kentucky; total 56
RICE 16 over Louisiana Tech; total 43
Louisiana-Lafayette 34 over GEORGIA STATE; total 60
VIRGINIA TECH 15 over Maryland; total 41
Memphis 3 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 40
DUKE 1 over Miami, Florida; total 58
Michigan 3 over NORTHWESTERN; total 58
Michigan State 4 over NEBRASKA; total 46
PITTSBURGH 5 over North Carolina; total 52
BOSTON COLLEGE 12 over North Carolina State; total 51
Ohio State 35 over ILLINOIS; total 70
Oklahoma State 2 over TEXAS; total 60
ARIZONA STATE 21 over Oregon State; total 70
PENN STATE 22 over Purdue; total 50
San Diego State 12 over HAWAII; total 59
San Jose State 6 over NEVADA; total 59
NAVY 14 over South Alabama; total 57
Stanford 5 over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA; total 42
FLORIDA STATE 32 over Syracuse; total 57
KANSAS STATE 11 over Texas Christian; total 48
ARKANSAS STATE 8 over Texas State; total 47
MISSISSIPPI 25 over Troy; total 69
OREGON 22 over Utah; total 63
ARIZONA 13 over Washington State; total 58
West Virginia 6 over KANSAS; total 51
BOISE STATE 22 over Wyoming; total 67


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page

2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up41-11.788411-120.774
Against the spread30-22.577268-257-5.510
Over-under25-25-2.500267-257-6.509
ARGH Picks3-1.75051-32.614

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record464-67
Percentage.87382
Bias toward home team0.25800
Mean error10.1685
Mean square error161.991

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