These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 17, 2007. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/13

BALL STATE 16 over Toledo; total 75

11/14

MIAMI, OHIO 6 over Akron; total 47

11/15

ARKANSAS STATE 21 over North Texas; total 66

Oregon 21 over ARIZONA; total 65

11/16

CENTRAL MICHIGAN 18 over Eastern Michigan; total 65

Hawaii 20 over NEVADA; total 83

11/17

MEMPHIS 12 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54

CLEMSON 8 over Boston College; total 54

Bowling Green State pick 'em over BUFFALO; total 63

Brigham Young 7 over WYOMING; total 44

California 5 over WASHINGTON; total 61

Central Florida 25 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 68

NOTRE DAME 3 over Duke; total 53

FLORIDA 33 over Florida Atlantic; total 68

BOISE STATE 39 over Idaho; total 61

KANSAS 34 over Iowa State; total 52

TEMPLE 1 over Kent; total 45

GEORGIA 13 over Kentucky; total 64

Louisiana State 23 over MISSISSIPPI; total 50

Louisiana-Lafayette 8 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 55

ALABAMA 22 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 51

SOUTH FLORIDA 15 over Louisville; total 63

HOUSTON 20 over Marshall; total 64

FLORIDA STATE 7 over Maryland; total 43

VIRGINIA TECH 16 over Miami, Florida; total 40

ARKANSAS 7 over Mississippi State; total 51

Missouri 13 over KANSAS STATE; total 67

TEXAS CHRISTIAN 14 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 41

UTAH 8 over New Mexico; total 41

GEORGIA TECH 13 over North Carolina; total 42

WAKE FOREST 9 over North Carolina State; total 52

NAVY 31 over Northern Illinois; total 74

ILLINOIS 18 over Northwestern; total 51

Ohio State 8 over MICHIGAN; total 44

Oklahoma 13 over TEXAS TECH; total 68

Oklahoma State 14 over BAYLOR; total 58

Oregon State 3 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 52

Penn State 4 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 54

RUTGERS 13 over Pittsburgh; total 49

INDIANA pick 'em over Purdue; total 63

AIR FORCE 13 over San Diego State; total 49

LOUISIANA TECH 5 over San Jose State; total 45

TEXAS-EL PASO pick 'em over Southern Mississippi; total 61

CONNECTICUT 24 over Syracuse; total 43

RICE 5 over Tulane; total 65

Tulsa 12 over ARMY; total 59

NEW MEXICO STATE 17 over Utah State; total 60

TENNESSEE 13 over Vanderbilt; total 50

CINCINNATI pick 'em over West Virginia; total 57

IOWA 13 over Western Michigan; total 43

Wisconsin 21 over MINNESOTA; total 60

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

- Ball State -5.5
- Central Florida -13
- Navy -15.5

More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2007 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 39-15 | .722 | 409-161 | .718 |

Against the spread | 25-28 | .472 | 288-270-7 | .516 |

Over-under | 27-25-1 | .519 | 270-284-8 | .488 |

ARGH Picks | 1-2 | .333 | 25-18-1 | .580 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 468-102 |

Percentage | .82105 |

Bias toward home team | 0.34079 |

Mean error | 10.7680 |

Mean square error | 183.340 |

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