This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 17, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/14
BALL STATE 6 over Ohio; total 66
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 12 over Toledo; total 62

11/15

North Carolina 8 over VIRGINIA; total 63

11/16

FLORIDA ATLANTIC 7 over Florida International; total 52
AIR FORCE 23 over Hawaii; total 64

11/17

Arizona 3 over UTAH; total 63
MISSISSIPPI STATE 14 over Arkansas; total 53
Arkansas State 6 over TROY; total 65
SAN JOSE STATE 2 over Brigham Young; total 44
Buffalo 12 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 52
OREGON STATE 20 over California; total 45
TULSA 3 over Central Florida; total 57
BOISE STATE 22 over Colorado State; total 40
GEORGIA TECH 7 over Duke; total 73
East Carolina 14 over TULANE; total 58
WESTERN MICHIGAN 19 over Eastern Michigan; total 63
Florida State 22 over MARYLAND; total 45
MARSHALL 5 over Houston; total 82
PENN STATE 18 over Indiana; total 57
MICHIGAN 16 over Iowa; total 40
Iowa State 11 over KANSAS; total 37
Kansas State 34 over BAYLOR; total 77
BOWLING GREEN STATE 1 over Kent; total 45
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 14 over Memphis; total 60
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 4 over Miami, Ohio; total 67
Middle Tennessee State 12 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 50
NEBRASKA 21 over Minnesota; total 55
LOUISIANA STATE 19 over Mississippi; total 49
Nevada 6 over NEW MEXICO; total 69
CLEMSON 21 over North Carolina State; total 59
LOUISIANA-MONROE 13 over North Texas; total 57
MICHIGAN STATE 2 over Northwestern; total 41
Ohio State 6 over WISCONSIN; total 57
Oklahoma 18 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 77
Purdue 9 over ILLINOIS; total 54
CINCINNATI 1 over Rutgers; total 42
MIAMI, FLORIDA 11 over South Florida; total 57
UCLA 4 over Southern California; total 64
Southern Methodist 2 over RICE; total 59
OREGON 16 over Stanford; total 65
MISSOURI 10 over Syracuse; total 53
Temple 2 over ARMY; total 56
VANDERBILT 13 over Tennessee; total 65
NAVY 17 over Texas State; total 56
OKLAHOMA STATE 8 over Texas Tech; total 71
Texas-El Paso 7 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 47
Texas-San Antonio 15 over IDAHO; total 60
Utah State 2 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 77
Virginia Tech 8 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 49
NOTRE DAME 25 over Wake Forest; total 36
Washington 23 over COLORADO; total 55
ARIZONA STATE 23 over Washington State; total 56
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 6 over Western Kentucky; total 58
Wyoming pick 'em over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 57


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up39-17.696420-149.738
Against the spread28-27-1.509312-251-6.554
Over-under26-28-2.482277-284-6.494
ARGH Picks0-3.00039-30.565

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record484-85
Percentage.85062
Bias toward home team0.20738
Mean error10.2803
Mean square error170.460

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