These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 17, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-12-18
11/13
Western Michigan 9 over BALL STATE; total 63
11/14
Buffalo 7 over OHIO; total 67
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 7 over Miami, Ohio; total 43
11/15
NORTH TEXAS 11 over Florida Atlantic; total 63
Toledo 17 over KENT STATE; total 71
HOUSTON 8 over Tulane; total 70
11/16
Boise State 22 over NEW MEXICO; total 64
SOUTHERN METHODIST 3 over Memphis; total 78
11/17
Air Force 2 over WYOMING; total 41
TEXAS A&M 2 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 45
WASHINGTON STATE 19 over Arizona; total 61
OREGON pick 'em over Arizona State; total 62
MISSISSIPPI STATE 20 over Arkansas; total 44
Boston College 9 over FLORIDA STATE; total 54
AKRON 16 over Bowling Green; total 59
CENTRAL FLORIDA 5 over Cincinnati; total 53
EAST CAROLINA 10 over Connecticut; total 67
CLEMSON 24 over Duke; total 54
Florida International 6 over CHARLOTTE; total 49
Georgia Southern 4 over COASTAL CAROLINA; total 54
APPALACHIAN STATE 28 over Georgia State; total 57
MICHIGAN 25 over Indiana; total 53
Iowa 16 over ILLINOIS; total 59
TEXAS 2 over Iowa State; total 50
OKLAHOMA 35 over Kansas; total 69
AUBURN 24 over Liberty; total 62
Louisiana Tech 2 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 43
ARKANSAS STATE 7 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 60
GEORGIA 43 over Massachusetts; total 69
Miami, Florida 5 over VIRGINIA TECH; total 53
Michigan State 8 over NEBRASKA; total 53
KENTUCKY 12 over Middle Tennessee State; total 44
VANDERBILT 4 over Mississippi; total 69
Missouri 4 over TENNESSEE; total 58
Nevada 21 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 65
HAWAII 13 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 73
BRIGHAM YOUNG 21 over New Mexico State; total 56
North Carolina State 17 over LOUISVILLE; total 60
Northwestern 3 over MINNESOTA; total 51
Notre Dame 16 over Syracuse; total 65
Ohio State 14 over MARYLAND; total 60
WASHINGTON 27 over Oregon State; total 60
Penn State 27 over RUTGERS; total 53
Pittsburgh 5 over WAKE FOREST; total 66
LOUISIANA STATE 33 over Rice; total 47
FRESNO STATE 11 over San Diego State; total 39
LOUISIANA 20 over South Alabama; total 67
TEMPLE 9 over South Florida; total 61
Southern California 5 over UCLA; total 53
Stanford 3 over CALIFORNIA; total 42
BAYLOR 2 over Texas Christian; total 55
TROY 22 over Texas State; total 49
Texas Tech 8 over KANSAS STATE; total 62
WESTERN KENTUCKY 4 over Texas-El Paso; total 45
MARSHALL 17 over Texas-San Antonio; total 45
NAVY 6 over Tulsa; total 52
Utah 9 over COLORADO; total 53
Utah State 32 over COLORADO STATE; total 74
GEORGIA TECH pick 'em over Virginia; total 54
West Virginia 15 over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 71
PURDUE 4 over Wisconsin; total 53
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 45-16 | .738 | 431-163 | .726 |
| Against the spread | 29-30-2 | .492 | 287-293-14 | .495 |
| Over-under | 28-30-3 | .484 | 297-289-8 | .507 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-4 | .333 | 32-44-2 | .423 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 481-113 |
| Percentage | .80976 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.02146 |
| Mean error | 10.4449 |
| Mean square error | 176.530 |
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