ARGH Game Predictions (Weekend of November 18, 2006)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 18, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.

11/14

TOLEDO 5 over Ball State; total 59

11/15

BOWLING GREEN STATE 12 over Miami, Ohio; total 49

11/16

OHIO 10 over Akron; total 39
West Virginia 11 over PITTSBURGH; total 60

11/17

Central Michigan 5 over NORTHERN ILLINOIS; total 53
KENT 14 over Eastern Michigan; total 39

11/18

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 14 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 38
OREGON 12 over Arizona; total 44
Arkansas 18 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 46
TROY 8 over Arkansas State; total 36
NOTRE DAME 32 over Army; total 53
Auburn 6 over ALABAMA; total 37
WISCONSIN 34 over Buffalo; total 49
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 13 over California; total 53
TULANE 6 over Central Florida; total 57
Connecticut 1 over SYRACUSE; total 45
GEORGIA TECH 30 over Duke; total 42
RICE 1 over East Carolina; total 57
NORTH TEXAS 2 over Florida Atlantic; total 37
Houston 25 over MEMPHIS; total 59
FRESNO STATE 7 over Idaho; total 54
NORTHWESTERN 2 over Illinois; total 42
PURDUE 11 over Indiana; total 60
MINNESOTA 4 over Iowa; total 47
Kansas State 1 over KANSAS; total 49
Louisiana-Lafayette 13 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 39
KENTUCKY 23 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 51
BOSTON COLLEGE 9 over Maryland; total 41
Miami, Florida 2 over VIRGINIA; total 31
OHIO STATE 7 over Michigan; total 39
PENN STATE 16 over Michigan State; total 46
SOUTH CAROLINA 7 over Middle Tennessee State; total 41
LOUISIANA STATE 23 over Mississippi; total 39
Missouri 18 over IOWA STATE; total 48
Nevada 16 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 58
BRIGHAM YOUNG 22 over New Mexico; total 47
North Carolina State 6 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 43
Oklahoma 18 over BAYLOR; total 52
TEXAS TECH 3 over Oklahoma State; total 64
Oregon State 16 over STANFORD; total 40
Rutgers 14 over CINCINNATI; total 35
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 17 over San Diego State; total 33
HAWAII 18 over San Jose State; total 63
LOUISVILLE 20 over South Florida; total 49
NAVY 33 over Temple; total 54
Tennessee 12 over VANDERBILT; total 51
MARSHALL 2 over Texas-El Paso; total 60
Tulsa 7 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 49
ARIZONA STATE 4 over UCLA; total 48
AIR FORCE 2 over Utah; total 48
BOISE STATE 39 over Utah State; total 51
WAKE FOREST 2 over Virginia Tech; total 33
WASHINGTON STATE 10 over Washington; total 43
FLORIDA STATE 9 over Western Michigan; total 44
Wyoming 11 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 42



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up40-14.741429-135.761
Against the spread26-25-3.509296-249-19.542
Over-under21-30-3.417262-283-7.481
ARGH Picks0-0NA18-10-2.633

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record485-79
Percentage0.85993
Bias toward home team0.14362
Mean error10.1534
Mean square error166.658

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