This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 19, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/15
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 13 over Ball State; total 75

11/16

Ohio 7 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 56
Western Michigan 3 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 55

11/17

Marshall 16 over MEMPHIS; total 51
VIRGINIA TECH 14 over North Carolina; total 47
Southern Mississippi 31 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 56

11/18

Oklahoma State 31 over IOWA STATE; total 67
Toledo 20 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 74

11/19

BUFFALO 12 over Akron; total 47
ARIZONA STATE 21 over Arizona; total 63
Arkansas State 22 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 58
TEMPLE 14 over Army; total 44
Boise State 15 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 55
NOTRE DAME 23 over Boston College; total 47
STANFORD 22 over California; total 58
Central Florida 1 over EAST CAROLINA; total 47
RUTGERS 1 over Cincinnati; total 53
Clemson 14 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 59
UCLA 15 over Colorado; total 54
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 32 over Colorado State; total 58
Eastern Michigan pick 'em over KENT; total 37
TROY 19 over Florida Atlantic; total 54
Florida International 3 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 48
HAWAII 11 over Fresno State; total 68
Georgia Tech 15 over DUKE; total 59
MICHIGAN STATE 29 over Indiana; total 52
PURDUE pick 'em over Iowa; total 54
TEXAS A&M 30 over Kansas; total 73
TEXAS 4 over Kansas State; total 53
GEORGIA 25 over Kentucky; total 49
Louisiana State 33 over MISSISSIPPI; total 48
NEVADA 6 over Louisiana Tech; total 58
CONNECTICUT pick 'em over Louisville; total 35
WAKE FOREST 17 over Maryland; total 59
SOUTH FLORIDA 3 over Miami, Florida; total 53
NORTHWESTERN 20 over Minnesota; total 59
ARKANSAS 17 over Mississippi State; total 54
Navy 6 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 59
MICHIGAN 9 over Nebraska; total 51
AIR FORCE 24 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 60
WYOMING 30 over New Mexico; total 55
BRIGHAM YOUNG 20 over New Mexico State; total 58
Oklahoma 21 over BAYLOR; total 74
Penn State 3 over OHIO STATE; total 31
OREGON 16 over Southern California; total 66
HOUSTON 26 over Southern Methodist; total 70
MISSOURI 14 over Texas Tech; total 63
RICE 21 over Tulane; total 64
Tulsa 11 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 56
Utah 5 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 49
Utah State 10 over IDAHO; total 56
TENNESSEE pick 'em over Vanderbilt; total 45
FLORIDA STATE 11 over Virginia; total 47
Washington 11 over OREGON STATE; total 57
NORTH TEXAS 3 over Western Kentucky; total 51
Wisconsin 6 over ILLINOIS; total 53



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up40-17.702399-153.723
Against the spread30-24-3.553276-262-12.513
Over-under24-33.421257-291-1.469
ARGH Picks2-1-1.62519-16-3.539

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record451-101
Percentage.81703
Bias toward home team-0.23370
Mean error10.3791
Mean square error176.242

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