These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 19, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/15NORTHERN ILLINOIS 13 over Ball State; total 75
11/16
Ohio 7 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 56
Western Michigan 3 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 55
11/17
Marshall 16 over MEMPHIS; total 51
VIRGINIA TECH 14 over North Carolina; total 47
Southern Mississippi 31 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 56
11/18
Oklahoma State 31 over IOWA STATE; total 67
Toledo 20 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 74
11/19
BUFFALO 12 over Akron; total 47
ARIZONA STATE 21 over Arizona; total 63
Arkansas State 22 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 58
TEMPLE 14 over Army; total 44
Boise State 15 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 55
NOTRE DAME 23 over Boston College; total 47
STANFORD 22 over California; total 58
Central Florida 1 over EAST CAROLINA; total 47
RUTGERS 1 over Cincinnati; total 53
Clemson 14 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 59
UCLA 15 over Colorado; total 54
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 32 over Colorado State; total 58
Eastern Michigan pick 'em over KENT; total 37
TROY 19 over Florida Atlantic; total 54
Florida International 3 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 48
HAWAII 11 over Fresno State; total 68
Georgia Tech 15 over DUKE; total 59
MICHIGAN STATE 29 over Indiana; total 52
PURDUE pick 'em over Iowa; total 54
TEXAS A&M 30 over Kansas; total 73
TEXAS 4 over Kansas State; total 53
GEORGIA 25 over Kentucky; total 49
Louisiana State 33 over MISSISSIPPI; total 48
NEVADA 6 over Louisiana Tech; total 58
CONNECTICUT pick 'em over Louisville; total 35
WAKE FOREST 17 over Maryland; total 59
SOUTH FLORIDA 3 over Miami, Florida; total 53
NORTHWESTERN 20 over Minnesota; total 59
ARKANSAS 17 over Mississippi State; total 54
Navy 6 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 59
MICHIGAN 9 over Nebraska; total 51
AIR FORCE 24 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 60
WYOMING 30 over New Mexico; total 55
BRIGHAM YOUNG 20 over New Mexico State; total 58
Oklahoma 21 over BAYLOR; total 74
Penn State 3 over OHIO STATE; total 31
OREGON 16 over Southern California; total 66
HOUSTON 26 over Southern Methodist; total 70
MISSOURI 14 over Texas Tech; total 63
RICE 21 over Tulane; total 64
Tulsa 11 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 56
Utah 5 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 49
Utah State 10 over IDAHO; total 56
TENNESSEE pick 'em over Vanderbilt; total 45
FLORIDA STATE 11 over Virginia; total 47
Washington 11 over OREGON STATE; total 57
NORTH TEXAS 3 over Western Kentucky; total 51
Wisconsin 6 over ILLINOIS; total 53
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Last Week | Overall | |||
Straight-up | 40-17 | .702 | 399-153 | .723 |
Against the spread | 30-24-3 | .553 | 276-262-12 | .513 |
Over-under | 24-33 | .421 | 257-291-1 | .469 |
ARGH Picks | 2-1-1 | .625 | 19-16-3 | .539 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|
Record | 451-101 |
Percentage | .81703 |
Bias toward home team | -0.23370 |
Mean error | 10.3791 |
Mean square error | 176.242 |
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