This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 21. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Revised 11-20-15

11/17

OHIO 11 over Ball State; total 52
BOWLING GREEN STATE 2 over Toledo; total 70

11/18

Central Michigan 9 over KENT; total 37
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 5 over Western Michigan; total 69

11/19

East Carolina 20 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 52
TEXAS STATE 9 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 68

11/20

BOISE STATE 5 over Air Force; total 56
SOUTH FLORIDA 5 over Cincinnati; total 61

11/21

ARIZONA STATE 5 over Arizona; total 70
OKLAHOMA STATE 9 over Baylor; total 79
AKRON 1 over Buffalo; total 45
STANFORD 12 over California; total 62
KENTUCKY 19 over Charlotte; total 50
WASHINGTON STATE 15 over Colorado; total 62
NEW MEXICO 3 over Colorado State; total 56
Duke 7 over VIRGINIA; total 57
FLORIDA 26 over Florida Atlantic; total 42
BRIGHAM YOUNG 25 over Fresno State; total 58
GEORGIA 8 over Georgia Southern; total 51
MIAMI, FLORIDA 4 over Georgia Tech; total 63
Houston 16 over CONNECTICUT; total 46
AUBURN 23 over Idaho; total 66
Illinois pick 'em over MINNESOTA; total 43
Indiana pick 'em over MARYLAND; total 69
KANSAS STATE 3 over Iowa State; total 54
MISSISSIPPI 2 over Louisiana State; total 66
Louisiana Tech 19 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 61
PITTSBURGH 4 over Louisville; total 48
Memphis 1 over TEMPLE; total 68
MASSACHUSETTS 7 over Miami, Ohio; total 52
Michigan 4 over PENN STATE; total 39
OHIO STATE 13 over Michigan State; total 53
Mississippi State 1 over ARKANSAS; total 57
Navy 21 over TULSA; total 70
UTAH STATE 8 over Nevada; total 52
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 12 over New Mexico State; total 70
North Carolina 11 over VIRGINIA TECH; total 61
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 28 over North Texas; total 63
WISCONSIN 5 over Northwestern; total 32
Notre Dame 13 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 37
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 18 over Old Dominion; total 59
IOWA 29 over Purdue; total 57
Rice 1 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 60
Rutgers 13 over Army; total 56
San Diego State 10 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 54
San Jose State 9 over HAWAII; total 51
South Alabama 4 over GEORGIA STATE; total 66
Southern California 5 over OREGON; total 75
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 13 over Syracuse; total 59
Tennessee 4 over MISSOURI; total 36
Texas A&M 5 over VANDERBILT; total 37
OKLAHOMA 12 over Texas Christian; total 68
SOUTHERN METHODIST pick 'em over Tulane; total 67
UTAH 8 over UCLA; total 58
CLEMSON 27 over Wake Forest; total 47
Washington 11 over OREGON STATE; total 41
West Virginia 28 over KANSAS; total 58
Western Kentucky 17 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 65


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page. Picks found to be against incorrectly posted lines will be removed.

2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up43-15.741450-138.765
Against the spread28-29-1.491277-294-16.486
Over-under29-29.500294-288-5.505
ARGH Picks4-4.50039-36-2.519

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record503-85
Percentage.85544
Bias toward home team-0.14626
Mean error10.8929
Mean square error188.015

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