This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 22, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/18

AKRON 5 over Massachusetts; total 53
Northern Illinois 6 over OHIO; total 49

11/19

TOLEDO 5 over Bowling Green State; total 72
BUFFALO 14 over Kent; total 53

11/20

Arkansas State 5 over TEXAS STATE; total 60
Kansas State 2 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 58
DUKE 19 over North Carolina; total 70

11/21

Air Force 6 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 48
UTAH STATE 14 over San Jose State; total 42
RICE 5 over Texas-El Paso; total 57

11/22

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 15 over Appalachian State; total 63
UTAH 2 over Arizona; total 57
Boise State 17 over WYOMING; total 61
FLORIDA STATE 20 over Boston College; total 54
Cincinnati 18 over CONNECTICUT; total 58
OREGON 42 over Colorado; total 76
BALL STATE 13 over Eastern Michigan; total 51
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 15 over Florida Atlantic; total 63
NORTH TEXAS 1 over Florida International; total 51
NEVADA 16 over Fresno State; total 63
CLEMSON 40 over Georgia State; total 61
OHIO STATE 38 over Indiana; total 68
OKLAHOMA 27 over Kansas; total 55
Louisiana Tech 19 over OLD DOMINION; total 72
Louisiana-Monroe 5 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 53
NOTRE DAME 3 over Louisville; total 56
Marshall 24 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 68
MICHIGAN 1 over Maryland; total 45
Miami, Florida 7 over VIRGINIA; total 53
NEBRASKA 9 over Minnesota; total 57
Mississippi 9 over ARKANSAS; total 47
Missouri pick 'em over TENNESSEE; total 49
HAWAII 9 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 47
COLORADO STATE 28 over New Mexico; total 63
Northwestern 1 over PURDUE; total 47
BAYLOR 28 over Oklahoma State; total 67
WASHINGTON 8 over Oregon State; total 53
Penn State 6 over ILLINOIS; total 45
MICHIGAN STATE 20 over Rutgers; total 65
SOUTH CAROLINA 15 over South Alabama; total 56
MEMPHIS 20 over South Florida; total 45
UCLA 8 over Southern California; total 60
CENTRAL FLORIDA 29 over Southern Methodist; total 47
Stanford 1 over CALIFORNIA; total 61
PITTSBURGH 7 over Syracuse; total 48
Texas Tech 1 over IOWA STATE; total 70
WESTERN KENTUCKY 14 over Texas-San Antonio; total 62
EAST CAROLINA 19 over Tulane; total 57
HOUSTON 20 over Tulsa; total 53
MISSISSIPPI STATE 32 over Vanderbilt; total 54
Virginia Tech 12 over WAKE FOREST; total 38
ARIZONA STATE 24 over Washington State; total 71
Western Michigan 2 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 52
Wisconsin 10 over IOWA; total 50


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page. Picks found to be against incorrectly posted lines will be removed.

2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up34-16.680430-162.726
Against the spread21-29.420268-310-13.464
Over-under22-28.440288-293-10.496
ARGH Picks1-4.20034-38-2.473

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record498-94
Percentage.84122
Bias toward home team0.43581
Mean error10.6427
Mean square error174.821

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