These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 23, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/19
Buffalo 27 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 45
OHIO 15 over Kent; total 46
11/20
Northern Illinois 5 over TOLEDO; total 73
11/21
Nevada-Las Vegas 8 over AIR FORCE; total 64
Rice 21 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 64
CENTRAL FLORIDA 23 over Rutgers; total 60
11/22
Navy 3 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 56
11/23
Arizona State pick 'em over UCLA; total 65
Baylor 7 over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 77
Boise State 10 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 60
MARYLAND 2 over Boston College; total 51
Bowling Green State 23 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 58
Brigham Young pick 'em over NOTRE DAME; total 49
STANFORD 37 over California; total 58
HOUSTON 10 over Cincinnati; total 56
UTAH STATE 17 over Colorado State; total 61
TEMPLE 14 over Connecticut; total 52
Duke 12 over WAKE FOREST; total 46
East Carolina 15 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 59
FLORIDA 18 over Georgia Southern; total 44
ARKANSAS STATE 32 over Georgia State; total 51
WYOMING 17 over Hawaii; total 62
FLORIDA STATE 57 over Idaho; total 69
Illinois 11 over PURDUE; total 61
OHIO STATE 42 over Indiana; total 83
Kansas 1 over IOWA STATE; total 52
GEORGIA 26 over Kentucky; total 59
SOUTH ALABAMA 2 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 52
Marshall 32 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 58
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 14 over Massachusetts; total 43
LOUISVILLE 18 over Memphis; total 39
IOWA 1 over Michigan; total 49
Michigan State 13 over NORTHWESTERN; total 43
Middle Tennessee State 30 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 56
Mississippi State 7 over ARKANSAS; total 50
Missouri 8 over MISSISSIPPI; total 63
Nebraska pick 'em over PENN STATE; total 59
FRESNO STATE 42 over New Mexico; total 79
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 26 over New Mexico State; total 60
Oklahoma 3 over KANSAS STATE; total 52
NORTH CAROLINA 17 over Old Dominion; total 78
Oregon 16 over ARIZONA; total 62
Pittsburgh 1 over SYRACUSE; total 48
Southern California 17 over COLORADO; total 52
Southern Methodist 6 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 60
LOUISIANA STATE 4 over Texas A&M; total 79
TULANE 20 over Texas-El Paso; total 53
NORTH TEXAS 14 over Texas-San Antonio; total 50
LOUISIANA TECH 3 over Tulsa; total 48
WASHINGTON STATE 1 over Utah; total 56
Vanderbilt pick 'em over TENNESSEE; total 58
MIAMI, FLORIDA 25 over Virginia; total 59
Washington 2 over OREGON STATE; total 61
Western Kentucky pick 'em over TEXAS STATE; total 49
Wisconsin 7 over MINNESOTA; total 50
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 43-7 | .860 | 454-127 | .781 |
| Against the spread | 28-22 | .560 | 296-279-5 | .515 |
| Over-under | 25-24-1 | .510 | 292-281-7 | .509 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-1 | .667 | 53-33 | .616 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 502-79 |
| Percentage | .86403 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.03442 |
| Mean error | 10.2143 |
| Mean square error | 164.492 |
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