This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 24, 2007. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/20

TROY 16 over Middle Tennessee State; total 54

11/22

ARIZONA STATE 7 over Southern California; total 47

11/23

LOUISIANA STATE 25 over Arkansas; total 62
HAWAII 4 over Boise State; total 73
AKRON pick 'em over Central Michigan; total 65
MISSISSIPPI STATE 11 over Mississippi; total 44
COLORADO 4 over Nebraska; total 60
Texas 5 over TEXAS A&M; total 54
BOWLING GREEN STATE 17 over Toledo; total 79
Wyoming 2 over COLORADO STATE; total 49

11/24

AUBURN 7 over Alabama; total 40
MARSHALL 8 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 51
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 9 over Arkansas State; total 48
Ball State 18 over NORTHERN ILLINOIS; total 54
Buffalo 1 over KENT; total 49
Cincinnati 22 over SYRACUSE; total 50
Clemson 2 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 52
WEST VIRGINIA 11 over Connecticut; total 48
NORTH CAROLINA 14 over Duke; total 51
Florida Atlantic 21 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 56
FLORIDA 16 over Florida State; total 58
Georgia 5 over GEORGIA TECH; total 47
FRESNO STATE 3 over Kansas State; total 63
Louisiana-Monroe 4 over LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE; total 57
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 1 over Maryland; total 49
BOSTON COLLEGE 18 over Miami, Florida; total 46
OHIO 2 over Miami, Ohio; total 50
Kansas 8 over Missouri; total 66
Nevada 2 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 63
NEW MEXICO 16 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 44
STANFORD 9 over Notre Dame; total 46
OKLAHOMA 17 over Oklahoma State; total 63
Oregon 11 over UCLA; total 60
South Florida 12 over PITTSBURGH; total 49
MEMPHIS 18 over Southern Methodist; total 59
WESTERN MICHIGAN 10 over Temple; total 50
KENTUCKY 3 over Tennessee; total 66
Texas Christian 4 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 47
CENTRAL FLORIDA 28 over Texas-El Paso; total 75
EAST CAROLINA 17 over Tulane; total 58
Tulsa 21 over RICE; total 81
BRIGHAM YOUNG 4 over Utah; total 43
IDAHO 1 over Utah State; total 57
Virginia Tech pick 'em over VIRGINIA; total 38
Wake Forest pick 'em over VANDERBILT; total 45
WASHINGTON 12 over Washington State; total 62
Western Kentucky 23 over NORTH TEXAS; total 67



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2007 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up39-12.765448-173.721
Against the spread26-24-1.520314-294-8.516
Over-under30-21.588300-305-8.496
ARGH Picks2-1.66727-19-1.585

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record509-112
Percentage.81965
Bias toward home team0.52335
Mean error10.7480
Mean square error182.823

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