This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 24, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/20
TOLEDO 32 over Akron; total 66

11/22

TEXAS 12 over Texas Christian; total 60

11/23

ARIZONA 9 over Arizona State; total 71
Ball State 16 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 70
Bowling Green State 9 over Buffalo; total 39
Central Michigan 18 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 60
Louisiana State 17 over ARKANSAS; total 50
EAST CAROLINA 12 over Marshall; total 75
Nebraska 18 over IOWA; total 53
Northern Illinois 29 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 61
KENT 15 over Ohio; total 62
CINCINNATI 17 over South Florida; total 48
Syracuse 8 over TEMPLE; total 58
Utah 19 over COLORADO; total 55
Washington 15 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 45
IOWA STATE 10 over West Virginia; total 67

11/24

FRESNO STATE 20 over Air Force; total 62
CENTRAL FLORIDA 27 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 61
ALABAMA 28 over Auburn; total 44
Texas Tech 5 over Baylor; total 81
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 15 over Boston College; total 51
Brigham Young 23 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 42
LOUISVILLE 16 over Connecticut; total 43
Florida 2 over FLORIDA STATE; total 41
GEORGIA 28 over Georgia Tech; total 69
UTAH STATE 36 over Idaho; total 52
NORTHWESTERN 25 over Illinois; total 50
PURDUE 10 over Indiana; total 66
TENNESSEE 18 over Kentucky; total 68
SAN JOSE STATE 15 over Louisiana Tech; total 83
Louisiana-Monroe 13 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 66
NORTH CAROLINA 20 over Maryland; total 53
Miami, Florida pick 'em over DUKE; total 65
OHIO STATE 11 over Michigan; total 57
Michigan State 2 over MINNESOTA; total 35
Mississippi State 4 over MISSISSIPPI; total 56
TEXAS A&M 22 over Missouri; total 62
Nevada-Las Vegas 2 over HAWAII; total 57
COLORADO STATE 1 over New Mexico; total 51
WESTERN KENTUCKY 11 over North Texas; total 47
Notre Dame 15 over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA; total 44
OKLAHOMA 10 over Oklahoma State; total 70
Oregon 1 over OREGON STATE; total 64
Rice 3 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 53
Rutgers 9 over PITTSBURGH; total 38
San Diego State 14 over WYOMING; total 60
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 23 over South Alabama; total 51
CLEMSON 3 over South Carolina; total 64
MEMPHIS 14 over Southern Mississippi; total 51
Stanford 2 over UCLA; total 51
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 9 over Texas State; total 59
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 9 over Troy; total 61
HOUSTON 17 over Tulane; total 67
Tulsa 11 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 54
Vanderbilt 12 over WAKE FOREST; total 41
VIRGINIA TECH 12 over Virginia; total 50
PENN STATE 2 over Wisconsin; total 43


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up44-10.815464-159.745
Against the spread31-21-2.593343-272-8.557
Over-under18-36.333295-320-6.480
ARGH Picks1-2.33340-32.556

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record532-91
Percentage.85393
Bias toward home team0.10032
Mean error10.3796
Mean square error175.446

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