This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 25, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.

11/21

TOLEDO 6 over Bowling Green State; total 52

11/23

Boston College 8 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 36

11/24

Air Force 13 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 47
Central Michigan 17 over BUFFALO; total 56
NEBRASKA 21 over Colorado; total 40
Fresno State 5 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 57
BALL STATE 2 over Kent; total 47
ARKANSAS 1 over Louisiana State; total 44
Northern Illinois 14 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 44
Ohio 10 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 35
OREGON STATE 4 over Oregon; total 52
TEXAS 14 over Texas A&M; total 57
TULSA 17 over Tulane; total 53
Western Michigan 1 over AKRON; total 44

11/25

CENTRAL FLORIDA 2 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 42
ARIZONA 4 over Arizona State; total 40
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 5 over Arkansas State; total 39
Boise State 12 over NEVADA; total 53
Brigham Young 9 over UTAH; total 49
Cincinnati 4 over CONNECTICUT; total 41
East Carolina 1 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 38
Florida 14 over FLORIDA STATE; total 42
Florida Atlantic 11 over Florida International; total 34
GEORGIA 1 over Georgia Tech; total 44
MISSOURI 12 over Kansas; total 50
TENNESSEE 19 over Kentucky; total 61
Louisville 17 over PITTSBURGH; total 58
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 12 over Marshall; total 49
TEXAS-EL PASO 19 over Memphis; total 60
MISSISSIPPI 2 over Mississippi State; total 39
New Mexico State 7 over UTAH STATE; total 56
North Carolina 10 over DUKE; total 47
LOUISIANA-MONROE 7 over North Texas; total 39
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 13 over Notre Dame; total 51
Oklahoma 9 over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 56
HAWAII 17 over Purdue; total 71
NEW MEXICO 11 over San Diego State; total 41
San Jose State 6 over IDAHO; total 48
CLEMSON 10 over South Carolina; total 45
WEST VIRGINIA 21 over South Florida; total 53
RICE 7 over Southern Methodist; total 59
RUTGERS 19 over Syracuse; total 38
Texas Christian 9 over COLORADO STATE; total 31
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 10 over Troy; total 46
VIRGINIA TECH 15 over Virginia; total 31
Wake Forest 2 over MARYLAND; total 38



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up38-17.691467-152.754
Against the spread26-27-2.491322-276-21.537
Over-under27-27-1.500289-310-8.483
ARGH Picks1-01.00019-10-2.645

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record528-91
Percentage0.85299
Bias toward home team-0.02625
Mean error10.1256
Mean square error168.135

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