ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 11-26-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 26, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


Miami, Ohio 4 over OHIO; total 54


BOWLING GREEN STATE 2 over Toledo; total 60


NORTHERN ILLINOIS 14 over Western Michigan; total 66


AKRON 17 over Kent; total 42
WEST VIRGINIA 17 over Pittsburgh; total 45


ARIZONA STATE 18 over Arizona; total 56
LOUISIANA STATE 24 over Arkansas; total 50
COLORADO 12 over Nebraska; total 42
Texas 33 over TEXAS A&M; total 71
Wisconsin 21 over HAWAII; total 65


EAST CAROLINA 2 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54
Arkansas State 6 over NORTH TEXAS; total 47
Boise State 1 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 59
RUTGERS 12 over Cincinnati; total 50
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 6 over Florida Atlantic; total 46
FLORIDA 5 over Florida State; total 53
Fresno State 11 over NEVADA; total 60
GEORGIA TECH 2 over Georgia; total 41
SAN JOSE STATE 8 over Idaho; total 55
Iowa State 3 over KANSAS; total 40
LOUISIANA-MONROE 5 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 54
MEMPHIS 11 over Marshall; total 47
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 3 over Maryland; total 46
TROY pick 'em over Middle Tennessee State; total 34
MISSISSIPPI STATE 1 over Mississippi; total 29
VIRGINIA TECH 24 over North Carolina; total 45
Notre Dame 12 over STANFORD; total 56
OKLAHOMA 20 over Oklahoma State; total 51
HOUSTON 25 over Rice; total 64
South Florida 6 over CONNECTICUT; total 43
LOUISVILLE 36 over Syracuse; total 60
Tennessee 5 over KENTUCKY; total 50
Texas-El Paso 7 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 48
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 25 over Tulane; total 57
Utah State 5 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 50
MIAMI, FLORIDA 18 over Virginia; total 44

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread15-31.326266-310-12.463
ARGH Early Bird Picks2-2.50027-20-2.571
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks0-0NA8-4.667

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team1.65179
Mean error10.2785
Mean square error172.592

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