These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 28. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-24-15
11/24
Bowling Green State 24 over BALL STATE; total 74
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 11 over Ohio; total 58
11/26
South Florida 29 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 51
Texas Tech 2 over TEXAS; total 76
11/27
Baylor 1 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 81
Boise State 9 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 58
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 28 over Eastern Michigan; total 59
Iowa 14 over NEBRASKA; total 60
AKRON 10 over Kent; total 36
WESTERN KENTUCKY 5 over Marshall; total 60
BUFFALO 13 over Massachusetts; total 52
PITTSBURGH 8 over Miami, Florida; total 58
ARKANSAS 8 over Missouri; total 42
Navy 2 over HOUSTON; total 60
OREGON 32 over Oregon State; total 70
Troy 1 over GEORGIA STATE; total 56
Tulsa 11 over TULANE; total 68
WASHINGTON 2 over Washington State; total 51
TOLEDO 16 over Western Michigan; total 62
11/28
Air Force 9 over NEW MEXICO; total 54
Alabama 18 over AUBURN; total 52
CALIFORNIA 7 over Arizona State; total 67
Arkansas State 20 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 77
SYRACUSE 1 over Boston College; total 40
Brigham Young 7 over UTAH STATE; total 53
RICE 12 over Charlotte; total 60
EAST CAROLINA 1 over Cincinnati; total 66
Clemson 26 over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 52
UTAH 19 over Colorado; total 50
Colorado State 9 over FRESNO STATE; total 60
TEMPLE 10 over Connecticut; total 37
Duke 6 over WAKE FOREST; total 45
OLD DOMINION 4 over Florida Atlantic; total 53
FLORIDA 5 over Florida State; total 41
Georgia 7 over GEORGIA TECH; total 52
Indiana 8 over PURDUE; total 75
WEST VIRGINIA 14 over Iowa State; total 53
Kansas State 22 over KANSAS; total 57
APPALACHIAN STATE 23 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 58
HAWAII 5 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 52
Louisville 5 over KENTUCKY; total 52
RUTGERS 4 over Maryland; total 60
Middle Tennessee State 13 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 58
MISSISSIPPI STATE 1 over Mississippi; total 62
SAN DIEGO STATE 13 over Nevada; total 49
Nevada-Las Vegas 11 over WYOMING; total 58
North Carolina 9 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 62
Northwestern 6 over ILLINOIS; total 35
Notre Dame 1 over STANFORD; total 56
Ohio State 1 over MICHIGAN; total 44
Oklahoma 5 over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 66
MICHIGAN STATE 10 over Penn State; total 44
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 18 over South Alabama; total 60
MEMPHIS 35 over Southern Methodist; total 81
LOUISIANA TECH 4 over Southern Mississippi; total 64
LOUISIANA STATE 4 over Texas A&M; total 56
IDAHO 4 over Texas State; total 75
Texas-El Paso 6 over NORTH TEXAS; total 54
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 3 over UCLA; total 59
TENNESSEE 11 over Vanderbilt; total 36
Virginia Tech 3 over VIRGINIA; total 60
Wisconsin 6 over MINNESOTA; total 37
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 42-16 | .724 | 492-154 | .762 |
| Against the spread | 29-29 | .500 | 306-323-16 | .487 |
| Over-under | 30-27-1 | .526 | 324-315-6 | .507 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-2-1 | .583 | 42-38-3 | .524 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 545-101 |
| Percentage | .84365 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.08243 |
| Mean error | 10.7844 |
| Mean square error | 185.026 |
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