This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 29, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/25

Ohio 4 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 47

11/27

TEXAS A&M pick 'em over Louisiana State; total 53
Texas Christian 11 over TEXAS; total 54

11/28

Akron 8 over KENT; total 38
ARIZONA 5 over Arizona State; total 63
MISSOURI 3 over Arkansas; total 50
BOWLING GREEN STATE 14 over Ball State; total 62
MASSACHUSETTS 2 over Buffalo; total 67
Central Florida 10 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 42
Colorado State 7 over AIR FORCE; total 59
East Carolina 21 over TULSA; total 67
Houston 24 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 49
Navy 4 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 51
Nebraska 5 over IOWA; total 56
WESTERN MICHIGAN 4 over Northern Illinois; total 58
UCLA 11 over Stanford; total 44
Toledo 22 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 63
VIRGINIA TECH 2 over Virginia; total 42
MARSHALL 37 over Western Kentucky; total 79

11/29

Alabama-Birmingham 8 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 58
ALABAMA 13 over Auburn; total 53
Baylor 34 over Texas Tech; total 78
Brigham Young 1 over CALIFORNIA; total 77
Cincinnati 1 over TEMPLE; total 57
MEMPHIS 24 over Connecticut; total 44
FLORIDA STATE 15 over Florida; total 56
GEORGIA 12 over Georgia Tech; total 69
FRESNO STATE 9 over Hawaii; total 53
APPALACHIAN STATE 24 over Idaho; total 65
NORTHWESTERN 6 over Illinois; total 49
KANSAS STATE 24 over Kansas; total 48
LOUISVILLE 16 over Kentucky; total 54
Louisiana-Lafayette 15 over TROY; total 58
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 19 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 56
OHIO STATE 23 over Michigan; total 53
Michigan State 9 over PENN STATE; total 47
TEXAS-EL PASO pick 'em over Middle Tennessee State; total 64
WISCONSIN 11 over Minnesota; total 51
MISSISSIPPI 1 over Mississippi State; total 47
Nevada 17 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 60
ARKANSAS STATE 26 over New Mexico State; total 63
NORTH CAROLINA 8 over North Carolina State; total 77
North Texas pick 'em over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 40
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 6 over Notre Dame; total 62
Old Dominion 1 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 71
Oregon 25 over OREGON STATE; total 64
MIAMI, FLORIDA 12 over Pittsburgh; total 57
INDIANA 3 over Purdue; total 61
LOUISIANA TECH 8 over Rice; total 57
MARYLAND 9 over Rutgers; total 56
SAN DIEGO STATE 9 over San Jose State; total 41
CLEMSON 11 over South Carolina; total 59
BOSTON COLLEGE 11 over Syracuse; total 39
Tennessee 14 over VANDERBILT; total 50
Texas State 19 over GEORGIA STATE; total 65
Utah 15 over COLORADO; total 61
BOISE STATE 9 over Utah State; total 58
DUKE 17 over Wake Forest; total 39
Washington 6 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 67
West Virginia 19 over IOWA STATE; total 62
NEW MEXICO 1 over Wyoming; total 58


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page. Picks found to be against incorrectly posted lines will be removed.

2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up39-14.736469-176.727
Against the spread30-22-1.575298-332-14.474
Over-under20-33.377308-326-10.486
ARGH Picks1-2.33335-40-2.468

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record543-102
Percentage.84186
Bias toward home team0.33527
Mean error11.0725
Mean square error187.567

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