This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of December 1, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!

RUTGERS 7 over Louisville; total 43


Northern Illinois 5 over Kent; total 60
STANFORD 12 over UCLA; total 50


Alabama 7 over Georgia; total 52
Boise State 12 over NEVADA; total 59
TULSA 2 over Central Florida; total 55
Cincinnati 7 over CONNECTICUT; total 36
Florida State 21 over Georgia Tech; total 67
WEST VIRGINIA 28 over Kansas; total 68
Louisiana-Lafayette 12 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 57
ARKANSAS STATE 11 over Middle Tennessee State; total 61
TEXAS STATE 18 over New Mexico State; total 56
Oklahoma 7 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 55
Oklahoma State 6 over BAYLOR; total 87
Pittsburgh 5 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 48
HAWAII 3 over South Alabama; total 52
KANSAS STATE 17 over Texas; total 62
Nebraska 8 over Wisconsin; total 51

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread31-24-2.561374-296-10.557
ARGH Picks4-2.66744-34.564

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team0.04816
Mean error10.2044
Mean square error169.740

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