These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of December 1, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-27-18
11/30
Buffalo 6 over Northern Illinois; total 45
Washington 1 over Utah; total 41
12/1
SOUTH CAROLINA 21 over Akron; total 54
Alabama 9 over Georgia; total 63
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE pick 'em over Alabama-Birmingham; total 47
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 24 over East Carolina; total 57
BOISE STATE pick 'em over Fresno State; total 50
APPALACHIAN STATE 20 over Louisiana; total 62
Marshall 2 over VIRGINIA TECH; total 52
CENTRAL FLORIDA 27 over Memphis; total 71
Ohio State 13 over Northwestern; total 59
Clemson 27 over Pittsburgh; total 57
Stanford 2 over CALIFORNIA; total 45
Oklahoma 11 over Texas; total 78
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 43-21 | .672 | 520-198 | .724 |
| Against the spread | 28-35-1 | .445 | 348-355-15 | .495 |
| Over-under | 27-36-1 | .430 | 354-354-10 | .500 |
| ARGH Picks | 0-1 | .000 | 35-48-2 | .424 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 582-136 |
| Percentage | .81058 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.13057 |
| Mean error | 10.6957 |
| Mean square error | 186.202 |
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