These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of December 2, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-30-17. Note change in location and chosen winner in Fresno State-Boise State game.
12/1
STANFORD 4 over Southern California; total 54
12/2
Georgia Southern 1 over COASTAL CAROLINA; total 56
GEORGIA STATE 8 over Idaho; total 41
APPALACHIAN STATE 17 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 63
FLORIDA STATE 26 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 68
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 9 over Massachusetts; total 55
NEW MEXICO STATE 6 over South Alabama; total 52
Troy 3 over ARKANSAS STATE; total 54
CENTRAL FLORIDA 18 over Memphis; total 82
Clemson 6 over Miami, Florida; total 47
Wisconsin 11 over Ohio State; total 59
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 2 over Oklahoma; total 59
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 12 over North Texas; total 79
Toledo 12 over Akron; total 57
BOISE STATE 4 over Fresno State; total 47
Georgia 4 over Auburn; total 49
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 45-17 | .726 | 529-191 | .735 |
| Against the spread | 24-37-1 | .395 | 346-356-17 | .493 |
| Over-under | 31-31 | .500 | 341-374-4 | .477 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-1 | .667 | 47-47-2 | .495 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 584-136 |
| Percentage | .81111 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.21007 |
| Mean error | 10.7434 |
| Mean square error | 184.312 |
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