This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of December 4, 2010. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!

These are posted for reference purposes only, as I was out of the country during this week and for various reasons was unable to post the predictions during the week.


ARIZONA 10 over Arizona State; total 53


Illinois 4 over FRESNO STATE; total 62
Northern Illinois 14 over Miami, Ohio; total 51


SOUTH FLORIDA 3 over Connecticut; total 45
Florida State pick 'em over Virginia Tech; total 51
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 14 over Middle Tennessee State; total 54
Oklahoma 4 over Nebraska; total 54
Nevada 19 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 65
HAWAII 31 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 62
Oregon 25 over OREGON STATE; total 64
Pittsburgh 4 over CINCINNATI; total 55
WEST VIRGINIA 18 over Rutgers; total 39
IDAHO 19 over San Jose State; total 51
Auburn 11 over South Carolina; total 64
Southern California 8 over UCLA; total 55
CENTRAL FLORIDA 10 over Southern Methodist; total 51
Troy 5 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 55
BOISE STATE 36 over Utah State; total 58
Washington 9 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 52

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread31-23.472310-341-12.468
ARGH Picks0-0NA13-17.433

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team0.46682
Mean error10.9811
Mean square error187.991

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