These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 28, 2009. (Minor revisions) IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
12/3
Arkansas State 17 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 54
OREGON 13 over Oregon State; total 62
12/4
Central Michigan 9 over Ohio; total 50
12/5
Florida 2 over Alabama; total 39
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 7 over Arizona; total 50
California 5 over WASHINGTON; total 55
Cincinnati 7 over PITTSBURGH; total 57
Georgia Tech 4 over Clemson; total 59
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 1 over Florida Atlantic; total 65
Fresno State 7 over ILLINOIS; total 55
Houston 4 over EAST CAROLINA; total 65
Texas 12 over Nebraska; total 43
BOISE STATE 38 over New Mexico State; total 50
LOUISIANA TECH 14 over San Jose State; total 44
CONNECTICUT 8 over South Florida; total 53
RUTGERS 4 over West Virginia; total 43
Wisconsin 14 over HAWAII; total 53
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2009 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 35-14 | .714 | 496-166 | .749 |
| Against the spread | 18-28-3 | .398 | 328-321-13 | .505 |
| Over-under | 22-26-1 | .459 | 325-331-6 | .495 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-7 | .125 | 25-31-2 | .448 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 552-110 |
| Percentage | .83384 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.44449 |
| Mean error | 9.8463 |
| Mean square error | 162.503 |
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