These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of December 5. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 12-1-15
12/4
Bowling Green State 9 over Northern Illinois; total 75
12/5
SAN DIEGO STATE 5 over Air Force; total 50
Alabama 8 over Florida; total 39
Appalachian State 19 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 58
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 20 over Georgia State; total 57
Iowa pick 'em over Michigan State; total 53
New Mexico State 7 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 69
Clemson 10 over North Carolina; total 66
STANFORD 7 over Southern California; total 61
WESTERN KENTUCKY 11 over Southern Mississippi; total 74
HOUSTON 6 over Temple; total 57
BAYLOR 23 over Texas; total 69
ARKANSAS STATE 27 over Texas State; total 73
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 1 over Troy; total 55
West Virginia 8 over KANSAS STATE; total 52
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 47-15 | .758 | 539-169 | .761 |
| Against the spread | 35-26-1 | .573 | 341-349-17 | .494 |
| Over-under | 35-27 | .565 | 359-342-6 | .512 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-0 | 1.000 | 44-38-3 | .535 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 598-110 |
| Percentage | .84463 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.02966 |
| Mean error | 10.8457 |
| Mean square error | 186.472 |
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