This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of December 7, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!


Louisville 6 over CINCINNATI; total 48


Northern Illinois 6 over Bowling Green State; total 59


Central Florida 21 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 63
Florida State 24 over Duke; total 64
Louisiana-Lafayette 4 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 62
RICE 2 over Marshall; total 63
Memphis 5 over CONNECTICUT; total 43
Ohio State 6 over Michigan State; total 53
Missouri 1 over Auburn; total 62
OKLAHOMA STATE 13 over Oklahoma; total 55
RUTGERS 13 over South Florida; total 49
ARIZONA STATE 5 over Stanford; total 58
BAYLOR 22 over Texas; total 75
FRESNO STATE 4 over Utah State; total 64

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page

2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread30-28-1.517356-331-7.518
ARGH Picks3-5-1.38961-40-1.603

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team0.18058
Mean error10.6626
Mean square error181.722

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