This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the 2018-2019 bowl season. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to!

Revised 12-8-18


Appalachian State 11 over Middle Tennessee State; total 51
Georgia Southern 5 over Eastern Michigan; total 46
Fresno State 11 over Arizona State; total 49
Louisiana 2 over Tulane; total 59
Utah State 10 over North Texas; total 71


Alabama-Birmingham 4 over Northern Illinois; total 37


Ohio 5 over San Diego State; total 55


Marshall 1 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 51


Toledo 1 over Florida International; total 73
Brigham Young 4 over Western Michigan; total 58


Army 11 over Houston; total 68
Troy pick 'em over Buffalo; total 53
HAWAII 4 over Louisiana Tech; total 58
Memphis 1 over Wake Forest; total 77


Boise State 6 over Boston College; total 56
Georgia Tech 3 over Minnesota; total 64
California pick 'em over Texas Christian; total 37


Miami, Florida 4 over Wisconsin; total 47
Temple 2 over Duke; total 54
Vanderbilt 8 over Baylor; total 55


Auburn 5 over Purdue; total 52
West Virginia pick 'em over Syracuse; total 75
Washington State 7 over Iowa State; total 53


Arkansas State 1 over Nevada; total 60
Clemson 8 over Notre Dame; total 53
Michigan 6 over Florida; total 54
Alabama 26 over Oklahoma; total 83
South Carolina 5 over Virginia; total 53


Cincinnati 13 over Virginia Tech; total 51
Oregon 1 over Michigan State; total 48
Utah 5 over Northwestern; total 42
Missouri 15 over Oklahoma State; total 72
Stanford 4 over Pittsburgh; total 52
Texas A&M 4 over North Carolina State; total 61


Central Florida 6 over Louisiana State; total 58
Georgia 16 over Texas; total 57
Mississippi State 4 over Iowa; total 37
Kentucky pick 'em over Penn State; total 44
Ohio State 4 over Washington; total 56

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:

More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page. Picks found to be against incorrectly posted lines will be removed.

2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Against the spread0-0-1.500355-362-16.495
ARGH Picks0-1-1.25036-49-3.426

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Bias toward home team0.13984
Mean error10.6872
Mean square error185.834

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