The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2018 season as of 1-2-19. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.12 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 1-2-19
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2018 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Clemson | 14 - 0 | 0.959 | 27 |
2 | 1 | Alabama | 14 - 0 | 0.955 | 17 |
3 | 3 | Notre Dame | 12 - 1 | 0.879 | 19 |
4 | 4 | Georgia | 11 - 3 | 0.869 | 2 |
5 | 7 | Ohio St. | 13 - 1 | 0.865 | 34 |
6 | 5 | Michigan | 10 - 3 | 0.834 | 13 |
7 | 8 | Oklahoma | 12 - 2 | 0.831 | 16 |
8 | 10 | Fresno St. | 12 - 2 | 0.826 | 84 |
9 | 13 | Florida | 10 - 3 | 0.817 | 28 |
10 | 14 | Louisiana St. | 10 - 3 | 0.813 | 7 |
11 | 6 | Central Florida | 12 - 1 | 0.812 | 90 |
12 | 9 | Mississippi St. | 8 - 5 | 0.811 | 5 |
13 | 12 | Kentucky | 10 - 3 | 0.803 | 23 |
14 | 16 | Appalachian St. | 11 - 2 | 0.796 | 104 |
15 | 20 | Texas A&M | 9 - 4 | 0.796 | 1 |
16 | 11 | Washington | 10 - 4 | 0.786 | 24 |
17 | 15 | Penn State | 9 - 4 | 0.780 | 26 |
18 | 19 | Washington St. | 11 - 2 | 0.780 | 68 |
19 | 17 | Cincinnati | 11 - 2 | 0.771 | 103 |
20 | 24 | Auburn | 8 - 5 | 0.768 | 10 |
21 | 23 | Iowa | 9 - 4 | 0.768 | 42 |
22 | 27 | Utah St. | 11 - 2 | 0.755 | 123 |
23 | 28 | Army | 11 - 2 | 0.755 | 101 |
24 | 26 | Syracuse | 10 - 3 | 0.749 | 57 |
25 | 22 | Boise State | 10 - 3 | 0.746 | 65 |
26 | 18 | Missouri | 8 - 5 | 0.739 | 14 |
27 | 33 | Texas | 10 - 4 | 0.735 | 21 |
28 | 21 | Utah | 9 - 5 | 0.727 | 33 |
29 | 25 | West Virginia | 8 - 4 | 0.724 | 43 |
30 | 29 | Stanford | 9 - 4 | 0.708 | 39 |
31 | 34 | AL-Birmingham | 11 - 3 | 0.688 | 121 |
32 | 36 | Northwestern | 9 - 5 | 0.680 | 12 |
33 | 30 | North Carolina St. | 9 - 4 | 0.674 | 66 |
34 | 35 | Oregon | 9 - 4 | 0.666 | 71 |
35 | 31 | South Carolina | 7 - 6 | 0.661 | 8 |
36 | 49 | Wisconsin | 8 - 5 | 0.660 | 51 |
37 | 32 | Miami, Florida | 7 - 6 | 0.656 | 50 |
38 | 38 | Iowa St. | 8 - 5 | 0.650 | 41 |
39 | 44 | Troy | 10 - 3 | 0.649 | 99 |
40 | 50 | Virginia | 8 - 5 | 0.648 | 64 |
41 | 43 | Georgia Southern | 10 - 3 | 0.644 | 110 |
42 | 52 | Duke | 8 - 5 | 0.644 | 35 |
43 | 40 | Boston College | 7 - 5 | 0.631 | 54 |
44 | 51 | Ohio | 9 - 4 | 0.624 | 117 |
45 | 41 | Michigan St. | 7 - 6 | 0.623 | 29 |
46 | 54 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 6 | 0.616 | 44 |
47 | 45 | Pittsburgh | 7 - 7 | 0.615 | 4 |
48 | 55 | Minnesota | 7 - 6 | 0.613 | 36 |
49 | 39 | Purdue | 6 - 7 | 0.610 | 6 |
50 | 46 | Arizona St. | 7 - 6 | 0.605 | 48 |
51 | 37 | Vanderbilt | 6 - 7 | 0.604 | 18 |
52 | 58 | Brigham Young | 7 - 6 | 0.589 | 62 |
53 | 47 | Buffalo | 10 - 4 | 0.587 | 115 |
54 | 60 | Texas Christian | 7 - 6 | 0.587 | 40 |
55 | 48 | Georgia Tech | 7 - 6 | 0.586 | 55 |
56 | 42 | Temple | 8 - 5 | 0.576 | 87 |
57 | 65 | Wake Forest | 7 - 6 | 0.562 | 46 |
58 | 67 | Marshall | 9 - 4 | 0.562 | 119 |
59 | 61 | Texas Tech | 5 - 7 | 0.560 | 45 |
60 | 57 | California | 7 - 6 | 0.545 | 58 |
61 | 53 | North Texas | 9 - 4 | 0.545 | 130 |
62 | 73 | Florida International | 9 - 4 | 0.543 | 128 |
63 | 64 | Maryland | 5 - 7 | 0.542 | 31 |
64 | 56 | Middle Tennessee | 8 - 6 | 0.540 | 69 |
65 | 80 | Baylor | 7 - 6 | 0.534 | 53 |
66 | 72 | Indiana | 5 - 7 | 0.529 | 20 |
67 | 69 | Tennessee | 5 - 7 | 0.527 | 9 |
68 | 71 | Mississippi | 5 - 7 | 0.527 | 30 |
69 | 76 | Nevada | 8 - 5 | 0.526 | 96 |
70 | 59 | Memphis | 8 - 6 | 0.525 | 113 |
71 | 70 | Southern California | 5 - 7 | 0.524 | 38 |
72 | 66 | Arkansas St. | 8 - 5 | 0.519 | 109 |
73 | 74 | Virginia Tech | 6 - 7 | 0.514 | 49 |
74 | 63 | Northern Illinois | 8 - 6 | 0.504 | 67 |
75 | 68 | Toledo | 7 - 6 | 0.503 | 114 |
76 | 62 | Houston | 8 - 5 | 0.502 | 118 |
77 | 79 | Nebraska | 4 - 8 | 0.501 | 25 |
78 | 78 | Miami, Ohio | 6 - 6 | 0.495 | 78 |
79 | 75 | Eastern Michigan | 7 - 6 | 0.488 | 112 |
80 | 88 | Tulane | 7 - 6 | 0.477 | 82 |
81 | 87 | Kansas St. | 5 - 7 | 0.476 | 47 |
82 | 85 | Southern Mississippi | 6 - 5 | 0.473 | 125 |
83 | 82 | Florida St. | 5 - 7 | 0.472 | 15 |
84 | 94 | Louisiana Tech | 8 - 5 | 0.471 | 120 |
85 | 77 | San Diego St. | 7 - 6 | 0.468 | 76 |
86 | 84 | Arizona | 5 - 7 | 0.460 | 60 |
87 | 81 | Louisiana | 7 - 7 | 0.459 | 74 |
88 | 86 | Colorado | 5 - 7 | 0.453 | 70 |
89 | 90 | Wyoming | 6 - 6 | 0.448 | 83 |
90 | 92 | Air Force | 5 - 7 | 0.442 | 93 |
91 | 83 | Western Michigan | 7 - 6 | 0.435 | 92 |
92 | 93 | UCLA | 3 - 9 | 0.431 | 3 |
93 | 95 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 7 | 0.424 | 80 |
94 | 91 | Hawaii | 8 - 6 | 0.421 | 106 |
95 | 89 | South Florida | 7 - 6 | 0.413 | 102 |
96 | 96 | Southern Methodist | 5 - 7 | 0.404 | 73 |
97 | 97 | LA-Monroe | 6 - 6 | 0.390 | 94 |
98 | 98 | Coastal Carolina | 5 - 7 | 0.373 | 79 |
99 | 99 | Liberty | 6 - 6 | 0.371 | 122 |
100 | 100 | Charlotte | 5 - 7 | 0.356 | 89 |
101 | 104 | Kansas | 3 - 9 | 0.333 | 59 |
102 | 102 | Massachusetts | 4 - 8 | 0.329 | 75 |
103 | 103 | North Carolina | 2 - 9 | 0.325 | 52 |
104 | 101 | Navy | 3 - 10 | 0.323 | 56 |
105 | 105 | Illinois | 4 - 8 | 0.322 | 63 |
106 | 106 | Arkansas | 2 - 10 | 0.305 | 22 |
107 | 109 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 8 | 0.283 | 111 |
108 | 108 | Akron | 4 - 8 | 0.280 | 91 |
109 | 107 | Ball St. | 4 - 8 | 0.279 | 107 |
110 | 110 | Old Dominion | 4 - 8 | 0.274 | 126 |
111 | 111 | Oregon St. | 2 - 10 | 0.271 | 32 |
112 | 113 | New Mexico | 3 - 9 | 0.264 | 88 |
113 | 112 | Tulsa | 3 - 9 | 0.263 | 108 |
114 | 114 | Louisville | 2 - 10 | 0.249 | 11 |
115 | 116 | South Alabama | 3 - 9 | 0.243 | 81 |
116 | 117 | Colorado St. | 3 - 9 | 0.234 | 85 |
117 | 115 | East Carolina | 3 - 9 | 0.228 | 86 |
118 | 119 | Western Kentucky | 3 - 9 | 0.220 | 124 |
119 | 118 | Georgia St. | 2 - 10 | 0.213 | 77 |
120 | 120 | Bowling Green | 3 - 9 | 0.207 | 105 |
121 | 121 | Texas St. | 3 - 9 | 0.205 | 127 |
122 | 123 | New Mexico St. | 3 - 9 | 0.196 | 116 |
123 | 122 | Kent St. | 2 - 10 | 0.195 | 95 |
124 | 124 | San Jose St. | 1 - 11 | 0.182 | 61 |
125 | 125 | Texas-San Antonio | 3 - 9 | 0.173 | 97 |
126 | 126 | Rutgers | 1 - 11 | 0.169 | 37 |
127 | 127 | Rice | 2 - 11 | 0.151 | 98 |
128 | 128 | Central Michigan | 1 - 11 | 0.130 | 100 |
129 | 129 | Connecticut | 1 - 11 | 0.127 | 72 |
130 | 131 | Texas-El Paso | 1 - 11 | 0.099 | 129 |
131 | 130 | Wild Card U. | 7 - 105 | 0.098 | 0 |
2018 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2018 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 56-11 | .714 |
Big Ten | 33-18 | .607 |
Big Twelve | 26-10 | .605 |
ACC | 42-23 | .592 |
Pac-12 | 27-16 | .580 |
Independents | 37-26 | .520 |
Mountain West | 29-25 | .466 |
AAC | 27-28 | .452 |
Sun Belt | 24-20 | .449 |
Conference USA | 26-36 | .394 |
MAC | 19-35 | .394 |