The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected. This is the first set of ratings for the year with all teams connected, and you may notice some possibly unfortunate changes; additional adjustments may be forthcoming.
Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.
The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 3.00 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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Revised 1-7-21
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2020 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 12 - 0 | 0.930 | 27 |
2 | 2 | Ohio St. | 7 - 0 | 0.897 | 14 |
3 | 6 | Brigham Young | 11 - 1 | 0.866 | 102 |
4 | 13 | Oklahoma | 9 - 2 | 0.847 | 11 |
5 | 3 | Cincinnati | 9 - 1 | 0.834 | 86 |
6 | 4 | Clemson | 10 - 2 | 0.832 | 51 |
7 | 5 | Coastal Carolina | 11 - 1 | 0.826 | 78 |
8 | 16 | Iowa St. | 9 - 3 | 0.821 | 2 |
9 | 14 | Louisiana | 10 - 1 | 0.801 | 54 |
10 | 11 | Georgia | 8 - 2 | 0.779 | 33 |
11 | 10 | Notre Dame | 10 - 2 | 0.776 | 71 |
12 | 9 | Texas A&M | 9 - 1 | 0.774 | 72 |
13 | 15 | Northwestern | 7 - 2 | 0.770 | 21 |
14 | 22 | Texas | 7 - 3 | 0.770 | 7 |
15 | 20 | Oklahoma St. | 8 - 3 | 0.764 | 5 |
16 | 12 | Iowa | 6 - 2 | 0.763 | 56 |
17 | 7 | San Jose St. | 7 - 1 | 0.749 | 48 |
18 | 34 | Ball St. | 7 - 1 | 0.739 | 46 |
19 | 8 | Indiana | 6 - 2 | 0.732 | 30 |
20 | 36 | Buffalo | 6 - 1 | 0.731 | 110 |
21 | 25 | Southern California | 5 - 1 | 0.727 | 41 |
22 | 18 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 3 | 0.689 | 38 |
23 | 19 | Wisconsin | 4 - 3 | 0.687 | 18 |
24 | 26 | Appalachian St. | 9 - 3 | 0.686 | 107 |
25 | 31 | Texas Christian | 6 - 4 | 0.685 | 8 |
26 | 30 | Liberty | 10 - 1 | 0.676 | 127 |
27 | 17 | Florida | 8 - 4 | 0.667 | 42 |
28 | 21 | Marshall | 7 - 3 | 0.663 | 117 |
29 | 29 | Boise State | 5 - 2 | 0.660 | 52 |
30 | 43 | West Virginia | 6 - 4 | 0.654 | 26 |
31 | 24 | Army | 9 - 3 | 0.649 | 123 |
32 | 37 | Oregon | 4 - 3 | 0.643 | 9 |
33 | 38 | Nevada | 7 - 2 | 0.632 | 104 |
34 | 23 | Tulsa | 6 - 3 | 0.630 | 62 |
35 | 27 | North Carolina | 8 - 4 | 0.630 | 93 |
36 | 44 | Arizona St. | 2 - 2 | 0.622 | 57 |
37 | 42 | Utah | 3 - 2 | 0.621 | 29 |
38 | 48 | Stanford | 4 - 2 | 0.612 | 22 |
39 | 33 | AL-Birmingham | 6 - 3 | 0.605 | 95 |
40 | 49 | Washington | 3 - 1 | 0.598 | 79 |
41 | 35 | Colorado | 4 - 2 | 0.591 | 20 |
42 | 32 | Central Florida | 6 - 4 | 0.591 | 73 |
43 | 39 | Air Force | 3 - 3 | 0.577 | 76 |
44 | 45 | San Diego St. | 4 - 4 | 0.577 | 65 |
45 | 28 | Auburn | 6 - 5 | 0.572 | 24 |
46 | 56 | Georgia Southern | 8 - 5 | 0.561 | 105 |
47 | 46 | Southern Methodist | 7 - 3 | 0.556 | 115 |
48 | 70 | Toledo | 4 - 2 | 0.554 | 109 |
49 | 62 | UCLA | 3 - 4 | 0.546 | 25 |
50 | 73 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.543 | 59 |
51 | 53 | Memphis | 8 - 3 | 0.539 | 114 |
52 | 40 | Penn State | 4 - 5 | 0.533 | 34 |
53 | 41 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 4 | 0.532 | 100 |
54 | 50 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 5 | 0.527 | 91 |
55 | 74 | Western Michigan | 4 - 2 | 0.525 | 106 |
56 | 65 | Georgia St. | 6 - 4 | 0.522 | 85 |
57 | 51 | Tulane | 6 - 6 | 0.509 | 97 |
58 | 76 | Kansas St. | 4 - 6 | 0.504 | 6 |
59 | 54 | Virginia Tech | 5 - 6 | 0.498 | 35 |
60 | 52 | Mississippi | 5 - 5 | 0.496 | 66 |
61 | 57 | Virginia | 5 - 5 | 0.489 | 74 |
62 | 55 | Wake Forest | 4 - 5 | 0.484 | 69 |
63 | 80 | Hawaii | 5 - 4 | 0.482 | 75 |
64 | 47 | Louisiana St. | 5 - 5 | 0.481 | 60 |
65 | 63 | Boston College | 6 - 5 | 0.477 | 88 |
66 | 67 | Texas-San Antonio | 7 - 5 | 0.476 | 113 |
67 | 86 | Kent St. | 3 - 1 | 0.472 | 118 |
68 | 85 | Texas Tech | 4 - 6 | 0.467 | 10 |
69 | 61 | Minnesota | 3 - 4 | 0.465 | 55 |
70 | 96 | California | 1 - 3 | 0.464 | 36 |
71 | 64 | Nebraska | 3 - 5 | 0.456 | 15 |
72 | 87 | Central Michigan | 3 - 3 | 0.456 | 84 |
73 | 59 | Houston | 3 - 5 | 0.455 | 43 |
74 | 92 | Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.453 | 124 |
75 | 93 | Washington St. | 1 - 3 | 0.448 | 16 |
76 | 88 | Baylor | 2 - 7 | 0.446 | 3 |
77 | 58 | Maryland | 2 - 3 | 0.443 | 19 |
78 | 78 | Troy | 5 - 6 | 0.443 | 98 |
79 | 71 | Purdue | 2 - 4 | 0.437 | 53 |
80 | 69 | Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.433 | 39 |
81 | 68 | Kentucky | 5 - 6 | 0.431 | 64 |
82 | 84 | Wyoming | 2 - 4 | 0.430 | 101 |
83 | 72 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 4 | 0.420 | 119 |
84 | 75 | Louisville | 4 - 7 | 0.420 | 94 |
85 | 60 | Missouri | 5 - 5 | 0.417 | 80 |
86 | 94 | Oregon St. | 2 - 5 | 0.417 | 23 |
87 | 79 | Mississippi St. | 4 - 7 | 0.398 | 28 |
88 | 89 | Fresno St. | 3 - 3 | 0.396 | 116 |
89 | 66 | Arkansas | 3 - 7 | 0.392 | 13 |
90 | 82 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 5 | 0.386 | 90 |
91 | 77 | Rutgers | 3 - 6 | 0.385 | 49 |
92 | 103 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.382 | 70 |
93 | 90 | Rice | 2 - 3 | 0.366 | 108 |
94 | 83 | Michigan St. | 2 - 5 | 0.366 | 4 |
95 | 95 | Arkansas St. | 4 - 7 | 0.365 | 89 |
96 | 91 | East Carolina | 3 - 6 | 0.354 | 81 |
97 | 81 | Tennessee | 3 - 7 | 0.349 | 40 |
98 | 100 | New Mexico | 2 - 5 | 0.329 | 50 |
99 | 105 | Colorado St. | 1 - 3 | 0.323 | 61 |
100 | 102 | South Alabama | 4 - 7 | 0.321 | 83 |
101 | 97 | Illinois | 2 - 6 | 0.316 | 17 |
102 | 101 | Florida St. | 3 - 6 | 0.307 | 92 |
103 | 98 | Western Kentucky | 5 - 7 | 0.306 | 111 |
104 | 104 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 7 | 0.281 | 77 |
105 | 106 | Navy | 3 - 7 | 0.280 | 47 |
106 | 107 | Texas St. | 2 - 10 | 0.276 | 37 |
107 | 108 | Charlotte | 2 - 4 | 0.273 | 120 |
108 | 99 | South Carolina | 2 - 8 | 0.259 | 63 |
109 | 109 | Southern Mississippi | 3 - 7 | 0.253 | 121 |
110 | 110 | North Texas | 4 - 6 | 0.252 | 125 |
111 | 111 | Middle Tennessee | 3 - 6 | 0.248 | 112 |
112 | 118 | Arizona | 0 - 5 | 0.243 | 12 |
113 | 119 | Northern Illinois | 0 - 6 | 0.234 | 31 |
114 | 115 | Utah St. | 1 - 5 | 0.227 | 58 |
115 | 112 | Duke | 2 - 9 | 0.217 | 87 |
116 | 113 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 5 | 0.214 | 126 |
117 | 114 | South Florida | 1 - 8 | 0.189 | 68 |
118 | 117 | Temple | 1 - 6 | 0.186 | 103 |
119 | 116 | Syracuse | 1 - 10 | 0.176 | 45 |
120 | 120 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 6 | 0.159 | 44 |
121 | 125 | Akron | 1 - 5 | 0.153 | 99 |
122 | 123 | Kansas | 0 - 9 | 0.150 | 1 |
123 | 122 | Florida International | 0 - 5 | 0.145 | 122 |
124 | 121 | Massachusetts | 0 - 4 | 0.139 | 32 |
125 | 128 | Bowling Green | 0 - 5 | 0.106 | 96 |
126 | 124 | Vanderbilt | 0 - 9 | 0.094 | 82 |
127 | 126 | Wild Card U. | 1 - 33 | 0.093 | 0 |
128 | 127 | LA-Monroe | 0 - 10 | 0.085 | 67 |
2020 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2020 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Twelve | 11-3 | .611 |
Independents | 29-8 | .583 |
Big Ten | 3-1 | .549 |
Pac-12 | 1-2 | .544 |
SEC | 6-2 | .503 |
ACC | 12-9 | .489 |
Sun Belt | 20-15 | .489 |
AAC | 13-12 | .466 |
Mountain West | 3-5 | .462 |
MAC | 2-0 | .446 |
Conference USA | 16-27 | .354 |